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LaLiga2
Referee: A de Ena Wolf
Sociedad B
U S S S T
4–2
Full-time
Castellon
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad B Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 41%
32%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,18 xG 3,35
33% Possession 67%
17 Shots 23
8 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad B 16. · Castellon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 28 16 5 7 +20 -0.9 53
2 Castellon 28 14 7 7 +17 +2.3 49
3 Almeria 28 14 7 7 +13 +0.9 49
4 La Coruna 28 14 7 7 +13 +3.1 49
5 Malaga 28 14 5 9 +10 +1.2 47
6 Las Palmas 28 11 12 5 +12 +0.4 45
7 Ceuta 28 13 5 10 -3 -5.4 44
8 Burgos 28 12 7 9 +4 +3.1 43
9 Sp Gijon 28 12 6 10 +2 +2.4 42
10 Cordoba 28 11 8 9 +1 +1.7 41
11 Eibar 28 10 8 10 +1 +4.0 38
12 Andorra 28 9 8 11 -5 +1.9 35
13 Albacete 28 9 8 11 -6 +1.8 35
14 Cadiz 29 9 8 12 -7 -4.7 35
15 Leganes 28 8 10 10 +1 +5.2 34
16 Sociedad B 28 9 7 12 -1 -3.9 34
17 Granada 28 7 11 10 -1 -0.1 32
18 Valladolid 28 8 8 12 -9 +1.2 32
19 Huesca 28 8 6 14 -11 +1.5 30
20 Cultural Leonesa 28 7 6 15 -17 -9.6 27
21 Zaragoza 29 6 9 14 -17 -1.9 27
22 Mirandes 28 6 6 16 -17 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad B Castellon
1–0 J. Ochieng
2′
5′
A. Calatrava 1–1
O. Camara
2–1 G. Carrera
D. Diaz
6′
Jon Balda 🟨
14′
24′
O. Camara 2–2
Half-time 2–2
L. Astiazaran 🔁
↦ D. Diaz
46′
46′
🔁 I. Suero
↦ P. Santiago
Kazunari Kita 🟨
47′
49′
🟨 Salvador Ruiz
Tomy Carbonell 🟨
56′
68′
🔁 A. Mabil
↦ R. Sanchez
68′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ O. Camara
3–2 J. Ochieng
69′
70′
🟨 Beñat Gerenabarrena
Gorka Carrera Zarranz 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Diego Barri
73′
🔁 A. Jakobsen
↦ Barri
73′
🔁 Tincho
↦ S. Ruiz
A. Marchal 🔁
↦ J. Ochieng
81′
A. Unax 🔁
↦ I. Aguirre
81′
Lander Astiazaran 🟨
82′
A. Mariezkurrena 🔁
↦ G. Carrera
83′
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena 🟨
86′
J. Oleaga 🔁
↦ G. Gorosabel
89′
4–2 A. Mariezkurrena
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Sociedad B

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fraga G
22 A. Dadie Izagirre D
4 L. Beitia D
15 K. Kita D
3 J. Balda D
14 T. Carbonell M
31 I. Aguirre M
7 D. Diaz M
16 G. Gorosabel M
11 J. Ochieng M
18 G. Carrera F
Bench (10)
13 E. Arana
45 L. Olasagasti
23 U. Agote
10 A. Mariezkurrena
29 J. Garro
21 J. Eceizabarrena
19 A. Marchal
17 L. Astiazaran
34 J. Oleaga
39 A. Unax

Coach: Ion Ansotegi

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
14 R. Sanchez D
3 F. Brignani D
5 A. Jimenez D
17 S. Ruiz D
21 A. Calatrava M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
16 B. Cipenga M
9 O. Camara F
18 P. Santiago F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
7 A. Mabil
19 A. Jakobsen
10 I. Suero
29 T. De Nipoti
23 A. Garcia
2 Tincho
55 M. Willman
25 Ronaldo
6 M. Doue
27 I. Fadel
56 M. Ferrer Alarte

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,74
U
3,52
B
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A de Ena Wolf · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.