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LaLiga2
Referee: E Mallo
Eibar
T U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Santander
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
32%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
68%
Both score Ø 60%
48%
72%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,02 xG 0,69
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 15. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 25 14 5 6 +18 +0.5 47
2 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
3 Almeria 26 13 6 7 +12 +0.9 45
4 La Coruna 25 12 7 6 +13 +2.7 43
5 Malaga 25 12 5 8 +9 +0.3 41
6 Las Palmas 26 10 11 5 +9 +0.4 41
7 Cordoba 25 11 8 6 +6 +2.0 41
8 Burgos 26 11 7 8 +4 +4.0 40
9 Sp Gijon 25 12 3 10 +2 +1.9 39
10 Cadiz 26 9 8 9 -2 -1.9 35
11 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
12 Albacete 25 9 6 10 -5 +2.3 33
13 Granada 26 7 11 8 +1 +0.8 32
14 Leganes 26 8 8 10 +1 +4.6 32
15 Eibar 25 8 8 9 -1 +0.5 32
16 Andorra 26 7 8 11 -9 +1.6 29
17 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
18 Valladolid 26 7 7 12 -10 +1.2 28
19 Huesca 25 7 6 12 -11 +0.4 27
20 Cultural Leonesa 26 7 5 14 -14 -9.0 26
21 Zaragoza 26 5 9 12 -16 -2.8 24
22 Mirandes 26 5 6 15 -17 -3.6 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
2 S. Cubero D
21 M. Moreno D
15 Jair D
23 A. Arbilla D
6 S. Alvarez M
14 L. Olaetxea M
17 J. Corpas M
16 A. Madariaga M
10 J. Guruzeta M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (11)
1 L. Lopez
3 H. Arrillaga
4 A. Arambarri
5 J. Martinez
7 X. Alkain
18 A. Ares
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
19 T. Villa
22 A. Rodriguez
30 A. Garrido
20 Javier Marton

Coach: Benat San Jose

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
2 A. Mantilla D
4 Manu D
16 F. Gonzalez D
3 M. Garcia D
14 M. Gueye M
19 G. Puerta M
11 A. Martin M
18 P. Canales M
10 I. Vicente M
7 G. Guliashvili F
Bench (10)
13 S. Eriksson
5 J. Castro
6 I. Sainz-Maza
8 A. Aldasoro
15 M. Sangalli
17 J. Mata
20 S. Camara
23 D. Rodriguez
33 S. Calera
44 D. Fuentes

Coach: Jose Lopez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,21
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Mallo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.