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LaLiga2
Referee: J Sanchez
Burgos
S U U T S
2–0
Full-time
Mirandes
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
21%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
36%
54%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Mirandes 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 28 16 5 7 +20 -0.9 53
2 Castellon 29 14 7 8 +15 +3.5 49
3 Almeria 28 14 7 7 +13 +0.9 49
4 La Coruna 28 14 7 7 +13 +3.1 49
5 Malaga 28 14 5 9 +10 +1.2 47
6 Las Palmas 28 11 12 5 +12 +0.4 45
7 Ceuta 28 13 5 10 -3 -5.4 44
8 Burgos 28 12 7 9 +4 +3.1 43
9 Sp Gijon 28 12 6 10 +2 +2.4 42
10 Cordoba 28 11 8 9 +1 +1.7 41
11 Eibar 28 10 8 10 +1 +4.0 38
12 Sociedad B 29 10 7 12 +1 -5.1 37
13 Albacete 29 9 9 11 -6 +1.8 36
14 Andorra 28 9 8 11 -5 +1.9 35
15 Cadiz 29 9 8 12 -7 -4.7 35
16 Leganes 28 8 10 10 +1 +5.2 34
17 Granada 28 7 11 10 -1 -0.1 32
18 Valladolid 28 8 8 12 -9 +1.2 32
19 Huesca 29 8 7 14 -11 +1.5 31
20 Cultural Leonesa 28 7 6 15 -17 -9.6 27
21 Zaragoza 29 6 9 14 -17 -1.9 27
22 Mirandes 28 6 6 16 -17 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Mirandes
-5′
🟨 Pablo Pérez
20′
🟨 Carlos Fernández
1–0 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
21′
39′
🟨 Fernando Medrano
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 S. El Jebari
↦ N. Maras
63′
🔁 S. Balde
↦ A. Houary
1–1 J. Cabello
own goal
66′
71′
🔁 D. Sia
↦ C. Fernandez
Kevin Appin 🟨
72′
F. Nino 🔁
↦ I. Cordoba
72′
F. Garcia 🔁
↦ K. Appin
73′
P. Galdames 🔁
↦ Curro
83′
Grego Sierra 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Salim El Jebari
V. Mollejo 🔁
↦ M. Atienza
91′
M. Exposito 🔁
↦ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
91′
95′
🟨 Fernando Medrano
95′
🟥 Fernando Medrano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
21 I. Cordoba M
10 K. Appin F
16 Curro F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
3 O. Luengo
11 V. Mollejo
28 S. del Cerro
31 F. Garcia
20 M. Gonzalez
4 P. Galdames
9 F. Nino
7 M. Mejia
22 B. Martinez
33 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero

Coach: Luis Ramis

Mirandes

5-3-2
13 Juanpa G
2 H. Novoa Ramos D
22 J. Gutierrez D
19 N. Maras D
15 J. Cabello D
3 F. Medrano D
29 A. Houary M
16 S. Clua M
18 R. Bauza M
28 J. Hernandez F
10 C. Fernandez F
Bench (12)
1 I. Nikic
4 M. Pascual
30 S. El Jebari
6 T. Helguera
48 U. del Cura
8 A. Martin Luis
17 P. Perez
20 D. Sia
9 S. Balde
7 I. Varela
24 I. Cordoba
27 T. Tamarit

Coach: Antxon Muneta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,22
B
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Sanchez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.