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LaLiga2
Referee: M H De Aza
Burgos
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
44%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
48%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,43 xG 0,52
62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Cadiz 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 25 14 5 6 +18 +0.5 47
2 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
3 Almeria 26 13 6 7 +12 +0.9 45
4 La Coruna 25 12 7 6 +13 +2.7 43
5 Malaga 25 12 5 8 +9 +0.3 41
6 Cordoba 25 11 8 6 +6 +2.0 41
7 Las Palmas 25 10 10 5 +9 -0.4 40
8 Burgos 25 11 6 8 +4 +3.1 39
9 Sp Gijon 25 12 3 10 +2 +1.9 39
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 25 9 7 9 -2 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 25 9 6 10 -5 +2.3 33
13 Leganes 26 8 8 10 +1 +4.6 32
14 Eibar 25 8 8 9 -1 +0.5 32
15 Granada 25 6 11 8 -3 -0.4 29
16 Andorra 26 7 8 11 -9 +1.6 29
17 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
18 Valladolid 25 7 7 11 -6 +2.4 28
19 Huesca 25 7 6 12 -11 +0.4 27
20 Cultural Leonesa 25 7 4 14 -14 -9.0 25
21 Zaragoza 25 5 8 12 -16 -2.8 23
22 Mirandes 25 5 5 15 -17 -2.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Cadiz
11′
D. Camara 0–1
A. Pascual
1–1 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
F. Nino
37′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 P. Fernandez
↦ A. Cordero
60′
🔁 R. Pereira
↦ M. Climent
V. Mollejo 🔁
↦ Curro
64′
Fernando Niño ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
67′
69′
🔁 S. Ortuno
↦ M. Diakite
70′
🔁 A. Caicedo
↦ I. Carcelen
82′
🔁 J. Domina
↦ D. Camara
K. Appin 🔁
↦ F. Nino
84′
M. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ I. Cordoba
84′
86′
🟨 Joaquín González
P. Galdames 🔁
↦ I. Morante
87′
94′
🟨 Jeronimo Domina
Víctor Mollejo 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
21 I. Cordoba M
9 F. Nino F
16 Curro F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
28 S. del Cerro
3 O. Luengo
22 B. Martinez
15 A. Bunuel
33 M. Exposito
4 P. Galdames
31 F. Garcia
10 K. Appin
11 V. Mollejo
20 M. Gonzalez
7 M. Mejia

Coach: Luis Ramis

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
13 V. Aznar G
20 I. Carcelen D
2 J. Moreno D
6 I. Recio D
21 M. Climent D
5 M. Diakite M
24 J. Gonzalez M
16 A. Cordero M
23 A. Pascual M
18 Y. Diarra M
17 D. Camara F
Bench (12)
1 D. Gil
30 R. Blanco
8 A. Fernandez
9 R. Marti
19 J. de la Rosa
22 J. Ontiveros
15 S. Ortuno
27 P. Fernandez
29 A. Caicedo
33 R. Pereira
37 J. Domina
38 S. Arribas

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U ✓
2,96
B
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M H De Aza · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.