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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Eibar
U S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
48%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 49%
59%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 3. · Burgos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 29 14 8 7 +20 50
2 Elche 30 14 8 8 +7 50
3 Eibar 29 14 7 8 +13 49
4 Espanol 29 13 9 7 +13 48
5 Valladolid 30 14 6 10 +7 48
6 Oviedo 30 12 11 7 +13 47
7 Sp Gijon 30 12 10 8 +8 46
8 Santander 30 13 7 10 +5 46
9 Burgos 29 13 6 10 +1 45
10 Ferrol 30 11 11 8 +0 44
11 Levante 29 10 12 7 +1 42
12 Eldense 30 10 11 9 -1 41
13 Tenerife 30 11 7 12 -2 40
14 Zaragoza 30 9 10 11 +0 37
15 Huesca 30 8 12 10 +3 36
16 Mirandes 30 9 9 12 -3 36
17 Cartagena 30 9 7 14 -12 34
18 Albacete 30 7 10 13 -9 31
19 Villarreal B 30 7 9 14 -16 30
20 Alcorcon 29 7 8 14 -19 29
21 Andorra 29 7 7 15 -14 28
22 Amorebieta 29 5 9 15 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Burgos
7′
🟨 Anderson Arroyo
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Álex Sancris
51′
🟨 Matos
Sergio León 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
58′
61′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Álex Sancris
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ José Corpas
69′
Unai Vencedor 🔁
↦ Sergio Álvarez
69′
69′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ Álex Bermejo
69′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Edu Espiau
Ager Aketxe 🟨
71′
82′
Peru Nolaskoain 1–0
own goal
K. de La Fuente 🔁
↦ Mario Soriano
83′
Matheus Pereira 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Fernando Niño
89′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Curro Sánchez
90′
🔁 Grego Sierra
↦ Miguel Atienza
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
17 José Corpas D
6 Sergio Álvarez D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
21 Ríos Reina D
24 Peru Nolaskoain M
8 Matheus Pereira M
10 Ager Aketxe M
30 Mario Soriano M
19 Stoichkov M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (11)
11 Sergio León
15 Álvaro Tejero
14 Unai Vencedor
27 K. de La Fuente
29 Ander Madariaga
7 Quique González
9 Y. Qasmi
22 S. Simič
3 Frederico Venâncio
13 Yoel Rodríguez
2 Cristian Gutiérrez

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
10 Álex Bermejo M
16 Curro Sánchez F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (7)
8 Ander Martín
9 Fer Niño
7 Dani Ojeda
22 Miki Muñoz
20 Grego Sierra
2 Borja González
29 Rubén de Gea

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,40
B ✓
4,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.