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LaLiga2
Referee: D Palencia
Zaragoza
U U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Almeria
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 37%
21%
52%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
34%
72%
Both score Ø 62%
52%
72%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 20. · Almeria 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 30 18 5 7 +22 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 29 15 7 7 +16 +2.2 52
3 Castellon 29 14 7 8 +15 +3.5 49
4 La Coruna 29 14 7 8 +11 +2.4 49
5 Las Palmas 29 12 12 5 +16 +2.8 48
6 Malaga 29 14 6 9 +10 +1.2 48
7 Burgos 29 13 7 9 +6 +3.1 46
8 Ceuta 29 13 5 11 -7 -7.8 44
9 Sp Gijon 29 12 6 11 +1 +1.4 42
10 Eibar 29 11 8 10 +2 +4.7 41
11 Cordoba 29 11 8 10 +0 +2.2 41
12 Andorra 29 10 8 11 -4 +3.0 38
13 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
14 Sociedad B 29 10 7 12 +1 -5.1 37
15 Albacete 29 9 9 11 -6 +1.8 36
16 Granada 29 8 11 10 +1 +0.5 35
17 Leganes 29 8 10 11 +0 +4.5 34
18 Valladolid 29 8 9 12 -9 +1.2 33
19 Huesca 29 8 7 14 -11 +1.5 31
20 Zaragoza 29 6 9 14 -17 -1.9 27
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Almeria
4′
🟨 Daijiro Chirino
28′
🟨 Álex Muñoz
Half-time 0–0
48′
ℹ️ Léo Baptistão
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Keidi Bare 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 A. Embarba
↦ Leo Baptistao
58′
🔁 A. Centelles
↦ A. Munoz
M. Mensah 🔁
↦ K. Bare
66′
M. A. Cuenca 🔁
↦ K. Kodro
67′
70′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ J. Morcillo
Pablo Insua 🟨
72′
Juan Larios 🟨
73′
D. Tasende 🔁
↦ H. Pinilla
73′
75′
🟨 Adrián Embarba
78′
🔁 M. Luna
↦ D. Chirino
78′
🔁 N. Melamed
↦ S. Arribas
1–0 R. Gonzalez
M. Aguirregabiria
80′
Rober González ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
83′
86′
🟨 Arnau Puigmal
Y. Saidu 🔁
↦ R. Gonzalez
88′
2–0 D. Gomez
D. Tasende
90′
Mawuli Mensah 🟨
93′
Dani Gómez 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
4 P. Insua D
16 A. Radovanovic D
27 J. Larios D
14 Francho M
6 K. Bare M
11 R. Gonzalez M
19 K. Kodro M
31 H. Pinilla M
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
17 F. Moyano
23 M. A. Cuenca
33 Y. Saidu
8 T. Moya
15 C. Pomares
25 N. Cumic
7 M. Soberon
2 J. Sebastian
3 D. Tasende
26 M. Mensah
36 A. Gomes

Coach: David Navarro

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
14 I. Baba M
17 D. Lopy M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
7 J. Morcillo M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
5 Rodrigo Ely
23 A. Embarba
21 Chumi
2 A. Puigmal
29 S. Dzodic
9 Thalys
16 M. Luna
6 A. Horta
19 P. Soko
20 A. Centelles
10 N. Melamed

Coach: Joan Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
U
3,29
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Palencia · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.