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Pro League

Referee: B Verbeke

St. Gilloise

S U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Dender

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/22 matches

Win Ø 36%

63%

Points per game

2,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

42%

55%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

64%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,63 xG 0,46

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Dender 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	19	15	1	3	+19	+7.8	46
2	St. Gilloise	19	12	7	0	+24	+18.3	43
3	St Truiden	19	13	2	4	+13	+16.5	41
4	Mechelen	20	10	7	3	+11	-4.3	37
5	Gent	18	10	2	6	+6	+1.8	32
6	Anderlecht	19	7	6	6	+4	+4.5	27
7	Antwerp	20	7	5	8	+2	-2.8	26
8	Genk	17	7	4	6	+3	+3.2	25
9	Cercle Brugge	23	6	6	11	-6	-1.6	24
10	Standard	20	6	5	9	-13	-9.8	23
11	Westerlo	19	5	7	7	-6	+1.4	22
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	5	6	9	-9	-4.8	21
13	RAAL La Louviere	23	4	9	10	-9	-8.6	21
14	Waregem	23	6	3	14	-11	-7.3	21
15	Charleroi	19	5	4	10	-5	-3.4	19
16	Dender	22	2	6	14	-23	-10.8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	9	0	0	+19	+10.5	27
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+8	+3.0	22
3	St Truiden	10	7	0	3	+2	+7.4	21
4	Gent	9	6	0	3	+8	+1.1	18
5	Mechelen	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.5	16
6	Antwerp	10	4	3	3	+2	+0.5	15
7	Genk	9	4	2	3	+3	+5.8	14
8	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+6	+6.6	13
9	Waregem	11	4	1	6	-2	-0.7	13
10	Westerlo	9	3	3	3	+0	+3.4	12
11	RAAL La Louviere	11	2	5	4	-4	-3.7	11
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	4	4	+0	-0.3	10
13	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-3	-2.4	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	11	1	2	8	-14	-4.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	+11	+4.8	24
2	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
3	St Truiden	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.1	20
4	Cercle Brugge	11	5	3	3	+4	+0.3	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	7	0	+5	+7.8	16
6	Standard	10	5	0	5	-6	-7.2	15
7	Gent	9	4	2	3	-2	+0.7	14
8	Anderlecht	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.1	14
9	Genk	8	3	2	3	+0	-2.6	11
10	Antwerp	10	3	2	5	+0	-3.4	11
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
12	Charleroi	9	3	1	5	-2	-0.9	10
13	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
14	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
15	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8
16	Dender	11	1	4	6	-9	-6.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.