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LaLiga2

Referee: S Ais

Almeria

S S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Cultural Leonesa

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Cultural Leonesa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

71%

46%

Both score Ø 59%

75%

43%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,58 xG 0,35

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Cultural Leonesa 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	29	17	5	7	+21	-1.3	56
2	Castellon	29	14	7	8	+15	+3.5	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	+13	+0.9	49
4	La Coruna	29	14	7	8	+11	+2.4	49
5	Las Palmas	29	12	12	5	+16	+2.8	48
6	Malaga	29	14	6	9	+10	+1.2	48
7	Burgos	29	13	7	9	+6	+3.1	46
8	Ceuta	29	13	5	11	-7	-7.8	44
9	Sp Gijon	29	12	6	11	+1	+1.4	42
10	Eibar	29	11	8	10	+2	+4.7	41
11	Cordoba	29	11	8	10	+0	+2.2	41
12	Andorra	29	10	8	11	-4	+3.0	38
13	Sociedad B	29	10	7	12	+1	-5.1	37
14	Albacete	29	9	9	11	-6	+1.8	36
15	Granada	29	8	11	10	+1	+0.5	35
16	Cadiz	29	9	8	12	-7	-4.7	35
17	Leganes	29	8	10	11	+0	+4.5	34
18	Valladolid	29	8	9	12	-9	+1.2	33
19	Huesca	29	8	7	14	-11	+1.5	31
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	-17	-9.6	27
21	Zaragoza	29	6	9	14	-17	-1.9	27
22	Mirandes	29	6	6	17	-19	-4.3	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	15	10	3	2	+14	+7.7	33
2	Santander	15	10	2	3	+16	+0.2	32
3	Malaga	15	9	5	1	+14	+1.7	32
4	Ceuta	14	10	1	3	+7	+0.1	31
5	Castellon	14	9	2	3	+12	+0.8	29
6	Almeria	14	9	2	3	+11	+2.5	29
7	Las Palmas	15	7	5	3	+12	+3.2	26
8	Sociedad B	15	7	5	3	+7	-2.7	26
9	Burgos	15	7	5	3	+7	+4.6	26
10	Sp Gijon	15	7	5	3	+5	+2.2	26
11	Huesca	15	6	5	4	+2	+1.1	23
12	La Coruna	14	6	4	4	+3	+1.4	22
13	Cordoba	14	6	3	5	+0	-0.1	21
14	Andorra	14	5	5	4	+1	+2.8	20
15	Cadiz	15	6	2	7	-2	+0.5	20
16	Granada	15	4	7	4	+4	+2.8	19
17	Albacete	14	5	3	6	-5	-0.4	18
18	Leganes	14	4	4	6	+0	+5.4	16
19	Valladolid	14	4	4	6	-2	+3.1	16
20	Mirandes	14	3	3	8	-10	-1.3	12
21	Zaragoza	14	2	5	7	-11	+1.2	11
22	Cultural Leonesa	14	2	4	8	-11	+0.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.0	27
2	Santander	14	7	3	4	+5	-1.5	24
3	Las Palmas	14	5	7	2	+4	-0.3	22
4	Castellon	15	5	5	5	+3	+2.6	20
5	Almeria	14	5	5	4	+2	-1.6	20
6	Cordoba	15	5	5	5	+0	+2.3	20
7	Burgos	14	6	2	6	-1	-1.5	20
8	Leganes	15	4	6	5	+0	-0.9	18
9	Albacete	15	4	6	5	-1	+2.2	18
10	Andorra	15	5	3	7	-5	+0.1	18
11	Cultural Leonesa	14	5	2	7	-6	-9.9	17
12	Valladolid	15	4	5	6	-7	-1.9	17
13	Granada	14	4	4	6	-3	-2.3	16
14	Sp Gijon	14	5	1	8	-4	-0.9	16
15	Malaga	14	5	1	8	-4	-0.5	16
16	Zaragoza	15	4	4	7	-6	-3.2	16
17	Cadiz	14	3	6	5	-5	-5.2	15
18	Ceuta	15	3	4	8	-14	-7.9	13
19	Mirandes	15	3	3	9	-9	-3.1	12
20	Sociedad B	14	3	2	9	-6	-2.4	11
21	Eibar	14	1	5	8	-12	-3.0	8
22	Huesca	14	2	2	10	-13	+0.4	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.