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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

Red Star

T S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 39%

40%

38%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

52%

54%

Both score Ø 53%

44%

62%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 0

5 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 10. · Dunkerque 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	26	15	6	5	+16	51
2	St Etienne	26	15	4	7	+17	49
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	+11	47
4	Reims	26	11	10	5	+14	43
5	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	+8	41
6	Rodez	26	10	10	6	+1	40
7	Dunkerque	26	10	9	7	+14	39
8	Annecy	26	11	6	9	+6	39
9	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	+0	39
10	Red Star	25	10	8	7	+3	38
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	-8	33
13	Grenoble	26	6	11	9	-6	29
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	-18	20
18	Bastia	26	3	10	13	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	14	11	1	2	+14	34
2	St Etienne	13	8	2	3	+14	26
3	Le Mans	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Reims	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Montpellier	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Guingamp	14	6	4	4	+0	22
7	Dunkerque	14	5	6	3	+8	21
8	Rodez	13	5	6	2	+3	21
9	Annecy	12	5	5	2	+7	20
10	Grenoble	13	4	7	2	-1	19
11	Red Star	12	4	5	3	-3	17
12	Clermont	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Pau FC	14	4	4	6	-5	16
14	Nancy	14	4	2	8	-10	14
15	Boulogne	13	4	1	8	-8	13
16	Bastia	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Amiens	13	2	3	8	-9	9
18	Laval	13	0	6	7	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	13	7	2	4	+3	23
2	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
3	Red Star	13	6	3	4	+6	21
4	Le Mans	13	5	6	2	+4	21
5	Boulogne	14	5	5	4	+0	20
6	Reims	14	4	7	3	+4	19
7	Annecy	14	6	1	7	-1	19
8	Rodez	13	5	4	4	-2	19
9	Dunkerque	12	5	3	4	+6	18
10	Troyes	12	4	5	3	+2	17
11	Montpellier	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Guingamp	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Amiens	14	4	2	8	-7	14
14	Laval	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-6	13
16	Clermont	14	3	3	8	-7	12
17	Grenoble	13	2	4	7	-5	10
18	Bastia	13	1	6	6	-6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.