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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al-Hakim
GAIS
U T S S S
3–2
Full-time
AIK
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
75%
0%
Average goals
4,5
4,0
Scored
3,5
3,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match GAIS 3. · AIK 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sirius 4 4 0 0 +15 12
2 Hammarby 4 4 0 0 +14 12
3 GAIS 4 4 0 0 +10 12
4 Mjallby 4 4 0 0 +7 12
5 Malmo FF 4 4 0 0 +7 12
6 Goteborg 4 3 1 0 +10 10
7 AIK 4 3 0 1 +12 9
8 Djurgarden 4 3 0 1 +11 9
9 Hacken 4 3 0 1 +8 9
10 Brommapojkarna 4 3 0 1 +6 9
11 Elfsborg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
12 Halmstad 4 3 0 1 +4 9
13 Norrkoping 4 3 0 1 +3 9
14 Falkenbergs FF 4 3 0 1 +2 9
15 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +4 7
16 Degerfors 4 2 1 1 +2 7
17 Oster 4 2 1 1 +0 7
18 Oddevold 4 2 0 2 +3 6
19 Ostersunds FK 4 1 3 0 +3 6
20 Varberg 4 2 0 2 +1 6
21 Vasteras SK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
22 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -2 6
23 IF Karlstad 5 2 0 3 -2 6
24 IK brage 4 2 0 2 -3 6
25 IFK Skövde 5 2 0 3 -8 6
26 Orgryte 4 1 2 1 -2 5
27 Täby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Varnamo 4 1 1 2 +0 4
29 Orebro SK 4 1 1 2 -1 4
30 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -5 4
31 Helsingborg 4 1 1 2 -6 4
32 Karlberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Lund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Onsala 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Enköping 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Assyriska FF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Zenith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Haninge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Sölvesborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Öckerö 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Lödde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Syrianska FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Myresjö / Vetlanda 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Torstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Viggbyholms IK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Korsnäs 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Sandviken 4 1 0 3 -3 3
54 Räppe 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Sylvia 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Qviding FIF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Nässjö 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 -5 3
59 Trelleborg 4 1 0 3 -9 3
60 Friska Viljor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Högaborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Torslanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vänersborgs FK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Centern 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Hudiksvall 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Rosengård 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utsikten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gute 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ursvik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hjulsbro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Farsta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stenungsund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gefle IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Kristianstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Karlslund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Berga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Trollhättan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Arameiska / Syrianska 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Västboås 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Dvärsätt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Jönköping Torpa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Eslov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 IFK Tidaholm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Franke 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Viken 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Stocksund 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GAIS AIK
1–0 K. Holmen
R. Niklasson
4′
S. Salter 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
A. Wangberg 🔁
↦ F. Beckman
61′
63′
Z. Yohanna 1–1
A. Csongvai
65′
🔁 K. Filling
↦ E. Flataker
69′
J. Hove 1–2
R. Thorkelsson 🔁
↦ M. Andersson
72′
S. Ekong 🔁
↦ S. Salter
72′
74′
🟨 T. Ayari
2–2 R. Niklasson
K. Holmen
77′
R. Niklasson 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 I. Cisse
84′
🔁 S. Gustafsson
↦ A. Mujanic
84′
🔁 A. Ali
↦ Z. Yohanna
3–2 S. Ekong
K. Holmen
90′
M. Bawa 🔁
↦ J. Fagerjord
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

GAIS

33 A. Hermansen
12 R. Frej
4 O. Agren
24 F. Beckman
2 M. de Brienne
10 H. Sletsjoe
7 J. Fagerjord
18 K. Holmen
16 M. Andersson
20 S. Salter
11 R. Niklasson
Bench (9)
13 K. Sims
5 R. Wendin
6 A. Wangberg
8 W. Milovanovic
17 R. Thorkelsson
21 S. Ekong
22 A. Cardaklija
27 M. Bawa
32 V. Knudsen

Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

AIK

15 K. Nordfeldt
21 S. Wilson
25 I. Cisse
33 A. Csongvai
12 C. Pavey
7 A. Mujanic
8 J. Hove
19 D. Besirovic
45 T. Ayari
20 E. Flataker
36 Z. Yohanna
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
16 S. Gustafsson
18 A. Ali
22 A. Helm
28 L. Jareteg
29 K. Filling
34 W. Olofsson
37 A. Faqa
46 Y. Geiger

Coach: Jose Riveiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.