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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Udinese
T T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Juventus
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,8
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
36%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
54%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,68 xG 3,34
45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 11. · Juventus 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 29 22 2 5 +42 +35.0 68
2 Milan 28 17 9 2 +24 +16.6 60
3 Napoli 29 18 5 6 +15 +9.1 59
4 Como 28 14 9 5 +25 +19.8 51
5 Roma 28 16 3 9 +17 +8.2 51
6 Juventus 28 14 8 6 +22 +25.1 50
7 Atalanta 29 12 11 6 +13 +11.4 47
8 Bologna 28 11 6 11 +3 -0.2 39
9 Sassuolo 28 11 5 12 -3 -11.1 38
10 Lazio 28 9 10 9 +0 -6.1 37
11 Udinese 28 10 6 12 -8 -7.5 36
12 Parma 29 8 10 11 -15 -17.4 34
13 Torino 29 9 6 14 -18 -9.1 33
14 Genoa 28 7 9 12 -6 +0.3 30
15 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 -8 -13.6 30
16 Lecce 29 7 6 16 -18 -19.9 27
17 Fiorentina 28 5 10 13 -12 +5.6 25
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 -18 -19.4 24
19 Verona 28 3 9 16 -27 -8.8 18
20 Pisa 28 1 12 15 -28 -17.9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Juventus
Nicolò Zaniolo 🟨
32′
38′
J. Boga 0–1
K. Yildiz
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 T. Koopmeiners
↦ K. Thuram
L. Miller 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
67′
J. Arizala 🔁
↦ H. Kamara
67′
71′
ℹ️ Francisco Conceição
VAR: Goal cancelled
J. Piotrowski 🔁
↦ J. Karlstrom
76′
B. Mlacic 🔁
↦ O. Zarraga
76′
78′
🔁 F. Miretti
↦ F. Conceicao
79′
🔁 F. Gatti
↦ J. Boga
I. Gueye 🔁
↦ A. Atta
84′
Branimir Mlačić 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Lloyd Kelly
Christian Kabasele 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 J. David
↦ A. Cambiaso
92′
🔁 F. Kostic
↦ K. Yildiz
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-1-4-2
40 M. Okoye G
19 K. Ehizibue D
27 C. Kabasele D
31 T. Kristensen D
8 J. Karlstrom M
6 O. Zarraga M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
14 A. Atta M
11 H. Kamara M
10 N. Zaniolo F
9 K. Davis F
Bench (10)
93 D. Padelli
90 R. Sava
15 V. Bayo
24 J. Piotrowski
28 O. Solet
38 L. Miller
22 B. Mlacic
7 I. Gueye
20 J. Arizala
29 A. Camara

Coach: Kosta Runjaic

Juventus

3-4-2-1
1 M. Perin G
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
6 L. Kelly D
22 W. McKennie M
5 M. Locatelli M
19 K. Thuram M
27 A. Cambiaso M
7 F. Conceicao F
13 J. Boga F
10 K. Yildiz F
Bench (12)
16 M. Di Gregorio
23 C. Pinsoglio
30 J. David
4 F. Gatti
21 F. Miretti
17 V. Adzic
14 A. Milik
18 F. Kostic
8 T. Koopmeiners
20 L. Openda
11 E. Zhegrova
32 J. Cabal

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,03
U
4,02
B ✓
1,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.