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Bundesliga

Referee: J Semler

Ried

T U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Tirol

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,69 xG 1,63

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

18 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 9. · Tirol 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	22	12	2	8	+7	+6.1	38
2	LASK	23	11	5	7	+2	+6.4	38
3	Salzburg	22	10	7	5	+16	+8.6	37
4	Austria Vienna	22	11	3	8	+4	+2.7	36
5	Hartberg	23	8	10	5	+5	-5.2	34
6	SK Rapid	22	9	6	7	+1	-2.7	33
7	Tirol	22	8	7	7	+1	+5.8	31
8	Altach	22	7	8	7	-1	-1.7	29
9	Ried	22	8	4	10	-4	-3.1	28
10	Wolfsberger AC	22	7	5	10	-1	-8.9	26
11	Grazer AK	22	4	8	10	-14	-3.1	20
12	BW Linz	22	4	3	15	-16	-4.9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	12	7	2	3	+3	+4.3	23
2	Altach	11	5	5	1	+4	+2.2	20
3	Salzburg	11	5	3	3	+8	+4.9	18
4	Tirol	11	5	3	3	+4	+3.2	18
5	SK Rapid	11	5	2	4	+2	-1.6	17
6	Austria Vienna	11	5	2	4	-1	+2.1	17
7	Hartberg	11	4	4	3	+2	+0.7	16
8	Sturm Graz	11	5	1	5	-2	+2.3	16
9	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	+2	-3.3	15
10	Ried	11	4	3	4	-1	-1.4	15
11	Grazer AK	11	3	5	3	-1	+0.8	14
12	BW Linz	11	3	1	7	-4	-0.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	11	7	1	3	+9	+3.8	22
2	Salzburg	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.8	19
3	Austria Vienna	11	6	1	4	+5	+0.7	19
4	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
5	SK Rapid	11	4	4	3	-1	-1.1	16
6	LASK	11	4	3	4	-1	+2.0	15
7	Ried	11	4	1	6	-3	-1.6	13
8	Tirol	11	3	4	4	-3	+2.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	11	3	2	6	-3	-5.6	11
10	Altach	11	2	3	6	-5	-3.9	9
11	Grazer AK	11	1	3	7	-13	-3.9	6
12	BW Linz	11	1	2	8	-12	-4.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.