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LaLiga2
Referee: A Fuentes
Cadiz
U S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Almeria
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
46%
71%
Both score Ø 59%
46%
71%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 11. · Almeria 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
2 Santander 24 13 5 6 +17 +0.5 44
3 La Coruna 24 11 7 6 +12 +2.7 40
4 Las Palmas 25 10 10 5 +9 -0.4 40
5 Almeria 24 11 6 7 +10 +0.9 39
6 Burgos 25 11 6 8 +4 +3.1 39
7 Malaga 24 11 5 8 +8 +0.3 38
8 Cordoba 24 10 8 6 +5 +1.0 38
9 Sp Gijon 24 11 3 10 +1 +1.9 36
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 24 9 7 8 -1 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 24 9 6 9 -4 +2.3 33
13 Leganes 25 8 8 9 +2 +5.6 32
14 Eibar 25 8 8 9 -1 +0.5 32
15 Granada 25 6 11 8 -3 -0.4 29
16 Andorra 25 7 8 10 -8 +1.6 29
17 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
18 Valladolid 25 7 7 11 -6 +2.4 28
19 Huesca 24 7 6 11 -10 +0.4 27
20 Cultural Leonesa 24 7 4 13 -13 -9.0 25
21 Zaragoza 25 5 8 12 -16 -2.8 23
22 Mirandes 24 5 5 14 -16 -2.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Almeria
6′
S. Arribas 0–1
M. de la Fuente
Iza Carcelén 🟨
8′
14′
🟨 Adrián Embarba
25′
J. Morcillo 0–2
A. Embarba
Mario Climent 🟨
27′
1–2 A. Pascual
M. Climent
31′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 Gui Guedes
↦ A. Horta
Brian Ocampo 🟨
57′
J. Ontiveros 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
63′
65′
🔁 D. Chirino
↦ M. Luna
66′
🔁 Leo Baptistao
↦ A. Embarba
A. Fernandez 🔁
↦ S. Ortuno
72′
R. Pereira 🔁
↦ M. Climent
72′
75′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ M. de la Fuente
78′
🟨 Iddrisu Baba
79′
🔁 Rodrigo Ely
↦ S. Arribas
R. Marti 🔁
↦ D. Camara
84′
J. de la Rosa 🔁
↦ A. Cordero
84′
Jose Antonio de la Rosa 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 V. Aznar G
20 I. Carcelen D
27 P. Fernandez D
6 I. Recio D
21 M. Climent D
16 A. Cordero M
5 M. Diakite M
15 S. Ortuno M
10 B. Ocampo M
17 D. Camara F
23 A. Pascual F
Bench (12)
1 D. Gil
8 A. Fernandez
9 R. Marti
18 Y. Diarra
19 J. de la Rosa
22 J. Ontiveros
24 J. Gonzalez
29 A. Caicedo
33 R. Pereira
34 J. Diaz Peregrina
37 J. Domina
38 S. Arribas

Coach: Sergio

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
14 I. Baba M
6 A. Horta M
23 A. Embarba M
11 S. Arribas M
7 J. Morcillo M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (11)
2 A. Puigmal
31 B. Iribarne
9 Thalys
13 F. Martinez
20 A. Centelles
8 Gui Guedes
5 Rodrigo Ely
19 P. Soko
12 Leo Baptistao
21 Chumi
22 D. Chirino

Coach: Joan Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
3,32
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Fuentes · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.