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LaLiga2
Referee: G Cid
Ceuta
T S S S T
1–2
Full-time
La Coruna
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
45%
48%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ceuta 8. · La Coruna 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 30 18 5 7 +22 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 30 15 7 8 +14 +2.2 52
3 Castellon 29 14 7 8 +15 +3.5 49
4 La Coruna 29 14 7 8 +11 +2.4 49
5 Las Palmas 29 12 12 5 +16 +2.8 48
6 Malaga 29 14 6 9 +10 +1.2 48
7 Burgos 29 13 7 9 +6 +3.1 46
8 Ceuta 29 13 5 11 -7 -7.8 44
9 Sp Gijon 29 12 6 11 +1 +1.4 42
10 Eibar 29 11 8 10 +2 +4.7 41
11 Cordoba 29 11 8 10 +0 +2.2 41
12 Andorra 29 10 8 11 -4 +3.0 38
13 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
14 Sociedad B 29 10 7 12 +1 -5.1 37
15 Albacete 29 9 9 11 -6 +1.8 36
16 Valladolid 30 9 9 12 -8 +2.5 36
17 Granada 29 8 11 10 +1 +0.5 35
18 Leganes 30 8 10 12 -1 +3.2 34
19 Huesca 29 8 7 14 -11 +1.5 31
20 Zaragoza 30 7 9 14 -15 -1.9 30
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Nov -25 La Coruna – Ceuta 2–1

Match report

Ceuta La Coruna
1–0 M. Fernandez Sanchez
15′
26′
B. Nsongo 1–1
Stoichkov
32′
🟨 Adrià Altimira
Jose Matos 🟨
36′
Marcos Fernández 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
Half-time 1–1
K. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ M. Sanchez
46′
46′
🔁 L. Noubi
↦ M. Loureiro
65′
🟨 Bil Nsongo
Youness 🔁
↦ Y. Bodiger
73′
77′
🔁 C. Herrera
↦ Stoichkov
77′
🔁 S. Mulattieri
↦ B. Nsongo
G. Almenara 🔁
↦ M. Illescas
85′
I. Schor 🔁
↦ A. Ahmed
85′
85′
🔁 D. Barcia
↦ X. Navarro
87′
🟨 Dani Barcia
90′
A. Altimira 1–2
Cruz Luismi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3
1 P. Lopez G
2 M. Sanchez D
4 A. Caparros D
15 D. Gonzalez D
3 Matos Jose D
19 Jamelli M
14 Y. Bodiger M
12 M. Illescas M
7 A. Ahmed F
9 M. Fernandez Sanchez F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (12)
13 G. Vallejo
6 C. Hernandez
10 C. Rodriguez
17 G. Almenara
5 Youness
18 K. de la Fuente
30 Josema
11 I. Schor
24 Y. Cantero
34 A. Betancourt
26 A. Bassinga
32 S. Gonzalez

Coach: Jose Romero

La Coruna

4-4-2
25 A. Fernandez G
23 X. Navarro D
15 M. Loureiro D
3 A. Comas D
12 G. Quagliata D
2 A. Altimira M
21 M. Soriano M
8 D. Villares M
19 Cruz Luismi M
22 Stoichkov F
32 B. Nsongo F
Bench (12)
1 G. Parreno
13 E. Puerto
18 S. Escudero
20 J. Jurado
14 R. Rodriguez
16 J. Gragera
9 Z. Eddahchouri
6 C. Patino
17 C. Herrera
7 S. Mulattieri
4 L. Noubi
5 D. Barcia

Coach: Antonio Hidalgo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U
3,10
B ✓
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Cid · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.