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Super League

Referee: D Blanco

Thun

S S S U S

5–1

Full-time

Grasshoppers

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Grasshoppers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 47%

76%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

79%

52%

Both score Ø 67%

72%

62%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,79 xG 2,34

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 1. · Grasshoppers 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	29	22	2	5	+34	+6.1	68
2	St. Gallen	29	16	6	7	+23	+9.2	54
3	Lugano	29	14	7	8	+10	-4.5	49
4	Basel	29	13	7	9	+4	+12.9	46
5	Sion	29	10	12	7	+8	+9.1	42
6	Young Boys	29	12	6	11	+3	-1.6	42
7	Luzern	29	9	9	11	+3	-0.3	36
8	Lausanne	29	9	9	11	-2	+5.0	36
9	Servette	29	7	12	10	-6	+1.9	33
10	Zurich	29	9	4	16	-16	-4.4	31
11	Grasshoppers	29	5	9	15	-14	-12.9	24
12	Winterthur	29	3	7	19	-47	-20.5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	15	10	2	3	+16	+3.2	32
2	Lugano	15	9	3	3	+11	-1.0	30
3	St. Gallen	15	9	1	5	+12	+12.0	28
4	Young Boys	14	8	2	4	+16	+10.3	26
5	Sion	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
6	Basel	14	6	5	3	+8	+18.2	23
7	Lausanne	14	4	5	5	+2	+9.4	17
8	Servette	15	3	7	5	-4	-0.6	16
9	Zurich	14	5	1	8	-5	+1.9	16
10	Luzern	14	3	5	6	+0	+2.5	14
11	Grasshoppers	15	3	5	7	-2	-4.0	14
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	12	0	2	+18	+2.8	36
2	St. Gallen	14	7	5	2	+11	-2.8	26
3	Basel	15	7	2	6	-4	-5.3	23
4	Luzern	15	6	4	5	+3	-2.8	22
5	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.5	19
6	Lausanne	15	5	4	6	-4	-4.4	19
7	Servette	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.6	17
8	Sion	14	3	7	4	-2	+4.2	16
9	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-13	-11.9	16
10	Zurich	15	4	3	8	-11	-6.3	15
11	Grasshoppers	14	2	4	8	-12	-8.9	10
12	Winterthur	15	1	3	11	-33	-16.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.