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LaLiga2
Referee: R Sanchez
Valladolid
T T U S U
3–2
Full-time
Leganes
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
45%
38%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,63 xG 1,32
34% Possession 66%
14 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 18. · Leganes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 30 18 5 7 +22 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 29 15 7 7 +16 +2.2 52
3 Castellon 29 14 7 8 +15 +3.5 49
4 La Coruna 29 14 7 8 +11 +2.4 49
5 Las Palmas 29 12 12 5 +16 +2.8 48
6 Malaga 29 14 6 9 +10 +1.2 48
7 Burgos 29 13 7 9 +6 +3.1 46
8 Ceuta 29 13 5 11 -7 -7.8 44
9 Sp Gijon 29 12 6 11 +1 +1.4 42
10 Eibar 29 11 8 10 +2 +4.7 41
11 Cordoba 29 11 8 10 +0 +2.2 41
12 Andorra 29 10 8 11 -4 +3.0 38
13 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
14 Sociedad B 29 10 7 12 +1 -5.1 37
15 Albacete 29 9 9 11 -6 +1.8 36
16 Granada 29 8 11 10 +1 +0.5 35
17 Leganes 29 8 10 11 +0 +4.5 34
18 Valladolid 29 8 9 12 -9 +1.2 33
19 Huesca 29 8 7 14 -11 +1.5 31
20 Zaragoza 29 6 9 14 -17 -1.9 27
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Leganes
1–0 S. Canos
Chuki
21′
39′
🟨 Gonzalo Melero
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Guirao
↦ G. Melero
58′
🟨 Dani Rodríguez
65′
S. Cisse 1–1
D. Rodriguez
J. Latasa 🔁
↦ S. Canos
69′
2–1 Marcos Andre
J. Ponceau
73′
78′
Duk 2–2
D. Rodriguez
80′
🔁 J. Cruz
↦ O. Plano
80′
🔁 L. Asue
↦ D. Garcia
M. Lachuer 🔁
↦ Marcos Andre
82′
V. Erlien 🔁
↦ J. Ponceau
82′
H. Modesto 🔁
↦ I. Garriel
82′
L. Sanseviero 🔁
↦ Peter Federico
86′
86′
🔁 S. Figueredo
↦ M. Leiva
3–2 J. Latasa
H. Modesto
90′
Juanmi Latasa 🟨
100′
Pablo Tomeo 🟨
100′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 A. Aceves G
14 I. Alejo D
15 P. Tomeo D
5 R. Martinez D
27 I. Garriel D
21 J. Ponceau M
24 S. Juric M
22 Peter Federico M
20 Chuki M
7 S. Canos M
10 Marcos Andre F
Bench (12)
26 A. de Pablo
17 S. Biuk
19 L. Sanseviero
6 M. Lachuer
23 M. Jaouab
12 I. Alani
2 C. Michelin
25 V. Erlien
9 J. Latasa
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas
16 M. Maroto
30 H. Modesto

Coach: Fran Escriba

Leganes

4-3-3
1 J. Soriano G
36 M. Leiva D
5 I. Miquel D
2 Marvel D
15 E. Franquesa D
8 S. Cisse M
16 G. Melero M
20 O. Plano M
11 Duk F
19 D. Garcia F
9 D. Rodriguez F
Bench (11)
31 J. Garrido
13 M. San Roman
17 N. Garcia
21 A. Campos
10 J. Cruz
12 L. Asue
27 S. Imigene
22 S. Figueredo
26 C. Guirao
33 G. Siame
44 Y. Menac

Coach: Igor Oca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,22
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Sanchez · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.