Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Panserraikos
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | +35 | +9.6 | 61 |
| 2 |
AEK
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +30 | +7.8 | 60 |
| 3 |
PAOK
|
26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | +35 | +7.0 | 58 |
| 4 |
Panathinaikos
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +19 | +5.4 | 49 |
| 5 |
Levadeiakos
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +16 | -5.9 | 41 |
| 6 |
OFI Crete
|
26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | -10 | -7.8 | 32 |
| 7 |
Atromitos
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -4 | -1.1 | 29 |
| 8 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -5 | -1.6 | 29 |
| 9 |
Aris
|
24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | -5 | – | 29 |
| 10 |
Volos NFC
|
26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -13 | +2.7 | 29 |
| 11 |
Panetolikos
|
26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | -13 | -2.2 | 27 |
| 12 |
Kifisia
|
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -10 | -1.8 | 25 |
| 13 |
Larisa
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -17 | -3.6 | 24 |
| 14 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -19 | -2.8 | 17 |
| 15 |
Panserraikos
|
25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -39 | -5.7 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Panserraikos
Olympiakos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Panserraikos
AEK
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.