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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Gonzalez Diaz
Valladolid
T U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
31%
31%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 7. · Las Palmas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 13 8 1 4 +8 -1.0 25
2 La Coruna 13 6 5 2 +12 +1.5 23
3 Las Palmas 13 6 5 2 +7 +1.2 23
4 Burgos 13 6 4 3 +7 +2.8 22
5 Almeria 12 6 4 2 +5 +1.0 22
6 Cadiz 13 5 6 2 +2 -1.1 21
7 Valladolid 13 5 5 3 +4 +3.9 20
8 Cordoba 13 5 5 3 +2 +0.4 20
9 Sp Gijon 13 6 1 6 -1 -0.7 19
10 Ceuta 12 5 3 4 -3 -1.6 18
11 Andorra 13 4 5 4 -3 +1.4 17
12 Eibar 13 4 4 5 +0 -0.5 16
13 Castellon 13 4 4 5 +0 +0.1 16
14 Albacete 13 4 4 5 -3 -1.7 16
15 Leganes 13 3 6 4 +1 -0.0 15
16 Sociedad B 13 4 3 6 -1 +0.8 15
17 Malaga 13 4 3 6 -1 -1.3 15
18 Huesca 13 4 3 6 -6 +0.9 15
19 Granada 13 3 5 5 -3 +0.2 14
20 Cultural Leonesa 13 4 2 7 -4 -3.9 14
21 Mirandes 13 3 3 7 -7 -0.5 12
22 Zaragoza 13 1 3 9 -16 -2.1 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Las Palmas
13′
Pejino 0–1
K. Rodriguez
28′
🟨 Mika Mármol
Half-time 0–1
Chuki 🔁
↦ J. Delgado
46′
46′
🔁 I. Gil
↦ A. Garcia
David Torres 🟨
53′
54′
🔁 Viti
↦ Pejino
S. Biuk 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
63′
63′
🔁 I. Gonzalez
↦ K. Rodriguez
A. Arnuncio 🔁
↦ Marcos Andre
72′
75′
🔁 Jese
↦ M. Lukovic
75′
🔁 J. Viera
↦ M. Fuster
Iván Alejo 🟨
79′
M. Lachuer 🔁
↦ Peter Federico
82′
M. Dominguez 🔁
↦ J. Ponceau
82′
Stanko Jurić 🟨
84′
86′
🟨 Marvin Park
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
14 I. Alejo D
15 P. Tomeo D
4 D. Torres D
3 G. Bueno D
22 Peter Federico M
21 J. Ponceau M
24 S. Juric M
11 A. Ndiaye M
18 J. Delgado F
10 Marcos Andre F
Bench (12)
1 A. Aceves
2 Trilli
5 J. Sanchez
6 M. Lachuer
7 S. Canos
12 I. Alani
16 M. Maroto
17 S. Biuk
19 A. Arnuncio
20 Chuki
23 M. Jaouab
36 M. Dominguez

Coach: Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves

Las Palmas

4-4-2
1 D. Horkas G
2 Marvin D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
24 Pejino M
20 K. Rodriguez M
16 L. Amatucci M
22 A. Garcia M
14 M. Fuster F
25 M. Lukovic F
Bench (12)
13 J. Caro
35 A. Suarez
4 Alex Suarez
7 J. Mata
8 I. Gil
10 Jese
11 M. Cardona
15 J. Herzog
17 Viti
21 J. Viera
23 C. Gutierrez
26 I. Gonzalez

Coach: Luis García Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
2,94
B ✓
3,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.