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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Pérez
Elche
S U S S S
1–2
Full-time
Almeria
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 40%
46%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
38%
67%
Both score Ø 49%
23%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 6. · Almeria 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 13 9 3 1 +10 30
2 Zaragoza 13 7 1 5 +7 22
3 Sp Gijon 13 6 4 3 +6 22
4 Oviedo 13 6 4 3 +3 22
5 Levante 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Elche 13 6 3 4 +4 21
7 Mirandes 13 6 3 4 +2 21
8 Castellon 12 6 1 5 +4 19
9 Granada 13 5 4 4 +3 19
10 Huesca 12 5 3 4 +5 18
11 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -2 18
12 Malaga 12 3 8 1 +0 17
13 Almeria 12 4 4 4 -1 16
14 Albacete 13 4 4 5 -2 16
15 Cordoba 12 4 3 5 -2 15
16 Burgos 13 4 3 6 -4 15
17 La Coruna 13 3 4 6 +0 13
18 Cadiz 13 3 4 6 -6 13
19 Eldense 12 3 3 6 -5 12
20 Ferrol 12 2 6 4 -5 12
21 Tenerife 13 2 4 7 -7 10
22 Cartagena 13 2 1 10 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Almeria
1–0 José Salinas
Yago Santiago
4′
14′
🟨 Marc Pubill
34′
🟨 Álex Centelles
37′
D. Lopy 1–1
38′
🟨 Dion Lopy
42′
🟨 Iddrisu Baba
Half-time 1–1
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ M. El Ghezouani
46′
46′
🔁 Nico Melamed
↦ Álex Centelles
54′
L. Suárez 1–2
Nicolás Fernández 🟨
60′
Josan 🔁
↦ Yago Santiago
64′
Raúl Guti 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Mendoza
64′
Mario Gaspar 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Léo Baptistão
74′
🟨 Arnau Puigmal
Bambo Diaby 🔁
↦ Mario Gaspar
78′
79′
🟨 Fernando Martínez
85′
🔁 Álex Pozo
↦ Sergio Arribas
Raúl Guti 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 Rachad Dhimi
93′
🔁 R. Fettal
↦ L. Suárez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
2 Mario Gaspar D
22 D. Affengruber D
12 José Salinas D
10 N. Fernández M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
14 Aleix Febas M
24 Yago Santiago M
19 M. El Ghezouani F
9 A. Álvarez F
Bench (12)
18 S. Kaba
17 Josan
8 Raúl Guti
4 Bambo Diaby
20 Cristian Salvador
36 R. Núñez
6 Pedro Bigas
31 Gerard Hernández
1 Miguel San Román
5 John Donald
16 Álex Martín
35 A. Houary

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Almeria

4-4-2
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
24 Bruno Langa D
11 Sergio Arribas M
15 I. Baba M
6 D. Lopy M
20 Álex Centelles M
12 Léo Baptistão F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
10 Nico Melamed
2 Arnau Puigmal
17 Álex Pozo
28 R. Fettal
27 Gui
1 Luís Maximiano
19 M. Milovanović
36 M. Perović
34 Rubén Quintanilla
16 A. Radovanović
4 Kaiky

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U
3,41
B ✓
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Pérez · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.