La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cadiz
Elche
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | +29 | 41 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 38 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 35 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 28 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 28 |
| 7 |
Osasuna
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 26 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 26 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Girona
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 |
Valencia
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |
Almeria
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 15 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -16 | 15 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -24 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valencia
Cadiz
Cadiz
Almeria
Real Unión
Cadiz
Real Madrid
Cadiz
Getafe
Cadiz
Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.