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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Almeria
U T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Albacete
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Albacete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
25 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 15. · Albacete 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 11 8 2 1 +9 26
2 Zaragoza 11 6 1 4 +7 19
3 Granada 11 5 4 2 +5 19
4 Oviedo 11 5 4 2 +3 19
5 Eibar 11 5 3 3 +1 18
6 Mirandes 11 5 3 3 +1 18
7 Huesca 10 5 2 3 +6 17
8 Castellon 11 5 1 5 +3 16
9 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 +3 15
10 Levante 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Elche 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Albacete 10 4 2 4 +0 14
13 Burgos 10 4 2 4 -1 14
14 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
15 Almeria 10 3 3 4 -3 12
16 Eldense 11 3 3 5 -3 12
17 Cordoba 11 3 3 5 -4 12
18 La Coruna 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Ferrol 10 2 4 4 -5 10
20 Cadiz 11 2 4 5 -6 10
21 Cartagena 11 2 1 8 -8 7
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Albacete
1–0 Léo Baptistão
L. Suárez
15′
26′
Rai Marchán 1–1
Javi Rueda
Half-time 1–1
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
46′
Gonzalo Melero 🔁
↦ A. Radovanović
46′
Dion Lopy 🟨
48′
2–1 Léo Baptistão
Arnau Puigmal
49′
Gonzalo Melero 🟨
53′
Chumi 🟨
55′
3–1 L. Suárez
57′
Álex Centelles 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 Juan María Alcedo
↦ Javi Rueda
64′
🔁 Marcos Moreno
↦ Alberto Quiles
R. Fettal 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
75′
81′
🔁 Juanma García
↦ Jon Morcillo
81′
🔁 Antonio Pacheco
↦ Riki Rodríguez
81′
🔁 Jon García
↦ Lalo Aguilar
Kaiky 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
84′
M. Milovanović 🔁
↦ L. Suárez
84′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-4-2
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
16 A. Radovanović D
20 Álex Centelles D
11 Sergio Arribas M
3 Edgar González M
6 D. Lopy M
10 Nico Melamed M
12 Léo Baptistão F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
2 Arnau Puigmal
8 Gonzalo Melero
28 R. Fettal
4 Kaiky
19 M. Milovanović
1 Luís Maximiano
31 Bruno Iribarne
26 Paco Sanz
27 Gui
17 Álex Pozo
24 Bruno Langa
33 Safi

Coach: Rubi

Albacete

4-4-2
1 Cristian Rivero G
29 Javi Rueda D
5 Juan Antonio D
27 Lalo Aguilar D
2 Álvaro Rodríguez D
4 Agus Medina M
6 Rai Marchán M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
22 Jon Morcillo M
10 Fidel F
21 Alberto Quiles F
Bench (10)
3 Juan María Alcedo
34 Marcos Moreno
7 Juanma García
20 Antonio Pacheco
14 Jon García
32 Eduardo de la Casa
17 Ale Meléndez
18 Javi Villar
33 Neco Rubayo
13 Raúl Lizoain

Coach: Alberto González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,81
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.