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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muñiz
Albacete
T S T U U
2–0
Full-time
Burgos
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
18 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 17. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 10 7 2 1 +7 23
2 Mirandes 10 5 3 2 +4 18
3 Huesca 10 5 2 3 +6 17
4 Zaragoza 10 5 1 4 +6 16
5 Castellon 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Granada 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Oviedo 10 4 4 2 +0 16
8 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Levante 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Burgos 9 4 2 3 +1 14
12 Elche 10 4 2 4 +1 14
13 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
14 Cordoba 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Eldense 10 3 3 4 -2 12
16 Almeria 10 3 3 4 -3 12
17 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
18 La Coruna 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cadiz 10 2 4 4 -5 10
20 Ferrol 10 2 4 4 -5 10
21 Cartagena 10 2 0 8 -8 6
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Burgos
Jon Garcia ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
24′
25′
🟨 David López
1–0 Higinio Marín
26′
2–0 Fidel
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Iván Morante
↦ Miguel Atienza
46′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ Dani Ojeda
56′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
61′
🔁 David González
↦ Raúl Navarro
69′
🔁 A. Arroyo
↦ Pipa
Agus Medina 🔁
↦ Higinio Marín
75′
Rai Marchán 🔁
↦ Fidel
76′
Alberto Quiles ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
79′
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Riki Rodríguez
83′
Álvaro Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Javi Rueda
83′
Marcos Moreno 🔁
↦ Juanma García
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Albacete

4-4-2
13 Raúl Lizoain G
29 Javi Rueda D
14 Jon García D
27 Lalo Aguilar D
3 Juan María Alcedo D
7 Juanma García M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
17 Ale Meléndez M
10 Fidel M
21 Alberto Quiles F
9 Higinio Marín F
Bench (11)
4 Agus Medina
6 Rai Marchán
22 Jon Morcillo
2 Álvaro Rodríguez
34 Marcos Moreno
5 Juan Antonio
32 Eduardo de la Casa
28 Joan Pulpón
1 Cristian Rivero
20 Antonio Pacheco
18 Javi Villar

Coach: Alberto González

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
20 Pipa D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
27 David López D
3 F. Miguel D
7 Dani Ojeda M
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
9 Fer Niño F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (11)
23 Iván Morante
10 Borja Sánchez
19 Edu Espiau
14 David González
4 A. Arroyo
22 T. Rodríguez
2 L. López
1 L. Badiashile
38 Ian Forns
32 Hugo Pascual
33 Marcelo Expósito

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,33
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Muñiz · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.