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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Elche
U T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Burgos
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 9. · Burgos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 24 13 6 5 +20 45
2 Eibar 24 12 5 7 +11 41
3 Ferrol 24 11 8 5 +5 41
4 Sp Gijon 24 10 9 5 +11 39
5 Valladolid 24 12 3 9 +3 39
6 Espanol 24 10 8 6 +10 38
7 Oviedo 24 9 10 5 +10 37
8 Levante 24 9 10 5 +2 37
9 Elche 24 10 7 7 +1 37
10 Burgos 24 10 6 8 +2 36
11 Zaragoza 24 8 9 7 +2 33
12 Santander 24 9 6 9 +1 33
13 Eldense 24 8 9 7 -2 33
14 Tenerife 24 9 5 10 -1 32
15 Mirandes 24 7 9 8 +0 30
16 Albacete 24 6 7 11 -9 25
17 Villarreal B 24 6 7 11 -11 25
18 Alcorcon 24 6 7 11 -13 25
19 Huesca 24 5 9 10 -3 24
20 Cartagena 24 6 6 12 -11 24
21 Andorra 24 6 5 13 -12 23
22 Amorebieta 24 3 7 14 -16 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -23 Burgos – Elche 4–0

Match report

Elche Burgos
Nicolás Fernández 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Pedro Bigas
N. Castro
59′
64′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Álex Sancris
64′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Miguel Atienza
Rodrigo Mendoza 🔁
↦ N. Fernández Mercau
68′
Mourad 🔁
↦ Manu Nieto
68′
72′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ K. Appin
72′
🔁 A. Arroyo
↦ Borja González
79′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Joni Montiel
Aleix Febas 🟨
86′
Rodrigo Mendoza ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
96′
2–0 Mourad
99′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elche

3-4-2-1
13 M. Dituro G
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Pedro Bigas D
23 Carlos Clerc D
24 Sergio Carreira M
5 John Donald M
14 Aleix Febas M
11 Tete Morente M
22 N. Fernández Mercau F
21 N. Castro F
10 Manu Nieto F
Bench (11)
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
19 Mourad
17 Josan
18 Borja Garcés
35 David López
12 José Salinas
4 Diego González
32 Adam Boayar
1 Miguel San Román
9 Sergio Bermejo
20 Cristian Salvador

Coach: S. Beccacece

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
21 Joni Montiel M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (6)
10 Álex Bermejo
7 Dani Ojeda
9 Fer Niño
4 A. Arroyo
22 Miki Muñoz
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,15
B
4,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,55
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.