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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Burgos
S S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Mirandes
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,8
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 19%
38%
0%
Both score Ø 26%
38%
13%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
1,1
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 7. · Mirandes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Huesca 9 5 1 3 +6 16
4 Levante 9 4 3 2 +4 15
5 Eibar 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Oviedo 9 4 3 2 +0 15
7 Burgos 8 4 2 2 +2 14
8 Castellon 8 4 1 3 +3 13
9 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
10 Mirandes 8 3 3 2 +2 12
11 Malaga 9 2 6 1 -1 12
12 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
13 Eldense 9 3 2 4 -2 11
14 Elche 8 3 1 4 +0 10
15 Granada 8 2 4 2 -1 10
16 Cadiz 9 2 4 3 -4 10
17 Cordoba 8 2 3 3 -2 9
18 Almeria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
19 Ferrol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
20 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -2 8
21 Cartagena 9 2 0 7 -7 6
22 Tenerife 9 1 2 6 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Mirandes
31′
🟨 Hugo Rincón
Fernando Niño 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
Miguel Atienza 🟨
50′
Curro Sánchez 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
57′
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
57′
57′
🔁 Joel Roca
↦ Urko Izeta
Daniel Ojeda 🟨
66′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
73′
74′
🔁 Víctor Parada
↦ M. Lachuer
81′
Hugo Rincón 0–1
Joel Roca
T. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ A. Arroyo
84′
Pipa 🔁
↦ F. Miguel
84′
Iñigo Cordoba 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 S. Homenchenko
↦ Alberto Reina
88′
🔁 Unai Eguíluz
↦ Hugo Rincón
Eduardo Espiau 🟨
94′
98′
🟨 Raúl Fernández
98′
🟨 Joaquin Panichelli
99′
ℹ️ Victor Parada
VAR: Card upgrade
100′
🟨 Victor Parada
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
2 L. López D
3 F. Miguel D
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
5 Miguel Atienza M
23 Iván Morante M
10 Borja Sánchez M
14 David González F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
16 Curro Sánchez
7 Dani Ojeda
19 Edu Espiau
22 T. Rodríguez
20 Pipa
33 Marcelo Expósito
32 Hugo Pascual
6 Raúl Navarro
29 Irian Ribas
1 L. Badiashile
27 David López
38 Ian Forns

Coach: Bolo

Mirandes

5-3-2
13 Raúl Fernández G
2 Hugo Rincón D
22 Juan Gutiérrez D
5 Tachi D
15 Pablo Tomeo D
3 Julio Alonso D
10 Alberto Reina M
6 Jon Gorrotxategi M
19 M. Lachuer M
9 J. Panichelli F
17 Urko Izeta F
Bench (9)
27 Joel Roca
33 Víctor Parada
8 S. Homenchenko
4 Unai Eguíluz
1 Luis López
21 Postigo
26 A. Bassinga
28 Alberto Dadie
11 Álex Calvo

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U
3,16
B ✓
3,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.