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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Eibar
S S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Malaga
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
18%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
41%
27%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 3. · Malaga 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 23 11 9 3 +13 42
2 Levante 23 10 10 3 +11 40
3 Eibar 22 11 7 4 +8 40
4 Alaves 23 10 7 6 +2 37
5 Granada 23 10 5 8 +8 35
6 Burgos 22 9 8 5 +7 35
7 Leganes 22 9 6 7 +3 33
8 Albacete 22 8 9 5 +2 33
9 Cartagena 23 9 6 8 +1 33
10 Andorra 22 9 5 8 +7 32
11 Huesca 23 7 9 7 -1 30
12 Oviedo 23 8 6 9 -3 30
13 Zaragoza 23 7 8 8 +0 29
14 Sp Gijon 23 6 10 7 -2 28
15 Villarreal B 23 7 7 9 -4 28
16 Mirandes 22 6 9 7 -2 27
17 Tenerife 23 6 9 8 -2 27
18 Santander 23 6 7 10 -2 25
19 Ponferradina 23 6 7 10 -8 25
20 Lugo 22 5 6 11 -9 21
21 Malaga 22 4 8 10 -9 20
22 Ibiza 23 4 4 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Malaga
20′
🟨 Juande Rivas
1–0 Stoichkov
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Esteban Burgos
55′
🔁 L. Junior
↦ Jozabed
67′
🟨 Alfred N'Diaye
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
71′
71′
🔁 Luis Muñoz
↦ Aleix Febas
72′
🔁 Álex Gallar
↦ Rubén Castro
Yanis Rahmani 🟨
73′
Matheus Pereira 🟨
78′
Quique González 🔁
↦ Y. Rahmani
81′
Álvaro Vadillo 🔁
↦ José Corpas
81′
83′
🔁 A. Appiah
↦ Fran Villalba
83′
🔁 Fran Sol
↦ P. Chavarría
88′
E. Burgos 1–1
Fran Sol
2–1 Juan Berrocal
Álvaro Vadillo
90′
Frederico Venâncio 🔁
↦ Javi Muñoz
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
14 Javi Muñoz M
11 Y. Rahmani M
19 Stoichkov F
Bench (10)
18 Jon Bautista
7 Quique González
21 Álvaro Vadillo
3 Frederico Venâncio
2 Chema Rodríguez
31 Ángel Troncho
16 Ríos Reina
1 Ander Cantero
20 Arana
13 Yoel

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Malaga

4-4-2
13 Rubén Yáñez G
22 Jonás Ramalho D
20 E. Burgos D
5 Juande Rivas D
3 Javi Jiménez D
12 P. Chavarría M
19 Jozabed M
18 A. N'Diaye M
21 Fran Villalba M
24 Rubén Castro F
10 Aleix Febas F
Bench (12)
7 L. Junior
8 Luis Muñoz
11 Álex Gallar
2 A. Appiah
9 Fran Sol
31 Andrés Caro
1 Manolo Reina
17 Delmás
29 Loren Zúñiga
4 Unai Bustinza
39 Cristian Gutiérrez
26 Dani Lorenzo

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,47
B
5,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.