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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Cadiz
S U S T T
2–2
Full-time
Malaga
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Malaga 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 8 5 2 1 +5 17
2 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +6 15
4 Levante 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Burgos 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Castellon 8 4 1 3 +3 13
7 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Mirandes 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Eibar 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Oviedo 8 3 3 2 -1 12
11 Eldense 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Malaga 8 2 5 1 -1 11
13 Elche 8 3 1 4 +0 10
14 Granada 8 2 4 2 -1 10
15 Albacete 8 3 1 4 -2 10
16 Cordoba 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Almeria 8 2 3 3 -3 9
18 Cadiz 8 2 3 3 -4 9
19 Ferrol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
20 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -2 8
21 Cartagena 9 2 0 7 -7 6
22 Tenerife 9 1 2 6 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Malaga
Víctor Chust 🟨
16′
1–0 Javi Ontiveros
23′
2–0 Javi Ontiveros
B. Ocampo
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Dani Lorenzo
↦ Gabilondo
46′
🔁 Puga
↦ Sangalli
54′
Dioni 2–1
58′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Kevin Medina
Rubén Sobrino 🔁
↦ Carlos Fernández
63′
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
72′
Fede San Emeterio 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
72′
72′
🔁 Sergio Castel
↦ David Larrubia
José de la Rosa 🔁
↦ Chris Ramos
81′
Fali 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
81′
81′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ Álex Pastor
82′
Sergio Castel 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 David Gil G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
5 Víctor Chust D
24 Cristian Glauder D
20 Iza Carcelén D
12 R. Kouamé M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
22 Javi Ontiveros M
23 Carlos Fernández M
10 B. Ocampo M
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (12)
7 Rubén Sobrino
11 Iván Alejo
6 Fede San Emeterio
19 José de la Rosa
3 Fali
13 José Antonio Caro
27 M. Diakité
33 Julio Cabrera
18 José Matos
14 B. Kovačević
17 G. Escalante
26 Victor Aznar

Coach: Paco López

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
20 Nélson Monte D
5 Álex Pastor D
14 Víctor García D
29 Izan Merino M
12 Manu Molina M
10 David Larrubia M
23 Sangalli M
11 Kevin Medina M
17 Dioni F
Bench (12)
22 Dani Lorenzo
3 Puga
21 Y. Rahmani
25 Sergio Castel
8 Juanpe
6 Ramón Enríquez
4 Einar Galilea
24 Julen Lobete
13 Carlos López
16 Diego Murillo
18 Dani Sánchez
9 R. Baturina

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,45
B
4,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.