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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Espanol
S S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Ferrol
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
43%
14%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 0
3 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 5. · Ferrol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 8 6 0 2 +8 18
2 Zaragoza 8 5 1 2 +6 16
3 Levante 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Tenerife 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Espanol 7 4 2 1 +6 14
6 Sp Gijon 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Valladolid 8 4 1 3 +2 13
8 Santander 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Ferrol 7 3 3 1 +2 12
10 Eibar 8 4 0 4 +0 12
11 Albacete 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Burgos 8 3 1 4 +0 10
13 Mirandes 8 3 1 4 -2 10
14 Andorra 8 3 1 4 -4 10
15 Amorebieta 8 2 3 3 +1 9
16 Villarreal B 8 2 3 3 +0 9
17 Elche 8 2 3 3 -4 9
18 Eldense 8 2 2 4 -6 8
19 Huesca 8 1 4 3 -3 7
20 Oviedo 8 1 3 4 -2 6
21 Alcorcon 8 1 3 4 -8 6
22 Cartagena 8 1 1 6 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Ferrol
28′
🟨 Julián Delmás
28′
🟥 Moises Delgado
31′
🔁 Brais Martínez
↦ Iker Losada
Keidi Bare 🟨
36′
1–0 M. Braithwaite
K. Bare
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Fran Manzanara
↦ Josep Señé
2–0 Pere Milla
Pol Lozano
47′
Álvaro Aguado 🔁
↦ K. Bare
57′
Ramon 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
57′
59′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ Sabin Merino
59′
🔁 Sergio Cubero
↦ Carlos Vicente
José Gragera 🔁
↦ Pol Lozano
67′
Antoniu Roca 🔁
↦ Pere Milla
67′
3–0 M. Braithwaite
Álvaro Aguado
71′
73′
🟨 Nacho Sánchez
Sergi Gómez 🔁
↦ Fernando Calero
73′
Antoniu Roca 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 Héber Pena
↦ Julián Delmás
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Fernando Pacheco G
31 O. El Hilali D
5 Fernando Calero D
6 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
7 Javi Puado M
8 K. Bare M
10 Pol Lozano M
11 Pere Milla M
22 M. Braithwaite F
21 Nico Melamed F
Bench (11)
18 Álvaro Aguado
12 Ramon
15 José Gragera
29 Antoniu Roca
3 Sergi Gómez
33 Ángel Fortuño
19 Salvi
1 Joan García
20 Edu Expósito
4 Víctor Ruiz
2 Óscar Gil

Coach: Luis García

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Ander Cantero G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 Jon García D
15 David Castro D
21 Moi Delgado D
23 Carlos Vicente M
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
11 Nacho Sánchez M
22 Iker Losada F
19 Sabin Merino F
Bench (12)
18 Brais Martínez
16 Fran Manzanara
20 Álvaro Giménez
24 Sergio Cubero
7 Héber Pena
9 Manu Justo
14 Álvaro Vadillo
3 Fernando Pumar
13 Emilio Bernad
8 Álex López
5 Enrique Clemente
1 G. Gazzaniga

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,83
B
5,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.