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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Eldense
U S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Eibar
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eldense 16. · Eibar 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Espanol 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Ferrol 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Levante 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Tenerife 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Andorra 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Amorebieta 3 1 2 0 +3 5
9 Burgos 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Santander 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Mirandes 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Sp Gijon 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Villarreal B 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Elche 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Valladolid 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Eldense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -3 3
18 Alcorcon 3 1 0 2 -4 3
19 Albacete 3 0 2 1 -2 2
20 Huesca 2 0 1 1 -2 1
21 Oviedo 3 0 1 2 -2 1
22 Cartagena 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Eibar
1–0 Juanto
29′
2–0 F. Andone
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 José Corpas
↦ Anaitz Arbilla
46′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Mario Soriano
46′
🔁 Stoichkov
↦ Jon Bautista
55′
ℹ️ José Corpas
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Mario Soberón 🔁
↦ Juanto
57′
Y. Didi 🔁
↦ D. Đumić
57′
59′
🟨 Frederico Venâncio
65′
🟨 Cristian Gutiérrez
Inigo Sebastian Magana 🟨
66′
Jesús Clemente 🔁
↦ F. Andone
66′
67′
🟨 Yanis Rahmani
67′
🔁 Ríos Reina
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
77′
🔁 Unai Vencedor
↦ Juan Berrocal
83′
🟨 Unai Vencedor
Pedro Capó 🔁
↦ Iván Chapela
83′
Joel Jorquera 🔁
↦ David Timor
84′
89′
Ager Aketxe 2–1
Álvaro Tejero
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,88
U
3,00
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,50
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.