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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Oviedo
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 33%
37%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
21%
32%
Both score Ø 40%
37%
42%
Average goals
1,6
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
5 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
8 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 11. · Zaragoza 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 18 13 7 +10 67
2 Granada 39 19 9 11 +19 66
3 Alaves 39 18 12 9 +13 66
4 Levante 39 16 17 6 +14 65
5 Las Palmas 38 16 16 6 +16 64
6 Albacete 39 16 14 9 +10 62
7 Cartagena 38 16 9 13 +5 57
8 Tenerife 39 13 14 12 +5 53
9 Burgos 38 13 14 11 +3 53
10 Mirandes 39 13 13 13 -1 52
11 Oviedo 38 14 10 14 -2 52
12 Andorra 38 14 9 15 +8 51
13 Zaragoza 38 11 16 11 +1 49
14 Villarreal B 39 13 10 16 -4 49
15 Leganes 39 13 10 16 -6 49
16 Huesca 39 10 18 11 +0 48
17 Sp Gijon 39 11 15 13 -2 48
18 Santander 39 12 12 15 -3 48
19 Malaga 39 9 13 17 -8 40
20 Ponferradina 39 8 15 16 -16 39
21 Ibiza 39 6 11 22 -34 29
22 Lugo 38 5 12 21 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Zaragoza
Luismi 🟨
33′
1–0 Viti Rozada
Raul Moro
38′
Half-time 1–0
Oier Luengo Redondo 🟨
48′
57′
Sergio Bermejo 1–1
Francho Serrano
David Costas 🟨
68′
Hugo Rama 🔁
↦ Raul Moro
68′
68′
🔁 Pau Sans
↦ Ivan Azón
L. Sequeira 🔁
↦ Manu Vallejo
76′
Mascarenhas 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
77′
77′
🔁 V. Vada
↦ Miguel Puche
77′
🔁 Gaizka Larrazabal
↦ Fran Gámez
Mangel Prendes 🔁
↦ Luismi
85′
Yayo 🔁
↦ Camarasa
86′
87′
🔁 Alberto Zapater
↦ Jaume Grau
2–1 Mascarenhas
92′
93′
🟨 Lluís López
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Tomeu Nadal G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
15 Oier Luengo D
2 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
16 Camarasa M
5 Luismi M
40 Raul Moro M
8 Manu Vallejo F
23 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (11)
20 Hugo Rama
17 L. Sequeira
38 Mascarenhas
31 Mangel Prendes
34 Yayo
1 Q. Braat
18 K. Koindredi
22 Juanfran
10 Borja Sánchez
11 M. Flores
21 Carlos Pomares

Coach: Álvaro

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 Álvaro Ratón G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
14 Francho Serrano M
5 Jaume Grau M
4 Bebé M
9 Ivan Azón F
7 Miguel Puche F
Bench (12)
38 Pau Sans
11 V. Vada
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
21 Alberto Zapater
8 Eugeni Valderrama
2 G. Fuentes
23 Manu Molina
6 Alejandro Francés
19 M. Gueye
16 T. Alarcón
35 Dani Rebollo
15 J. Quinteros

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
2,83
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,99
U2,5
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.