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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Eibar
T T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Burgos
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 45%
53%
37%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
37%
23%
Both score Ø 34%
37%
30%
Average goals
1,9
1,5
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 2. · Burgos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 30 15 12 3 +20 57
2 Eibar 30 16 8 6 +10 56
3 Granada 30 16 6 8 +19 54
4 Levante 30 14 12 4 +13 54
5 Alaves 30 15 8 7 +13 53
6 Albacete 30 13 11 6 +7 50
7 Burgos 30 11 12 7 +6 45
8 Cartagena 30 12 8 10 +6 44
9 Huesca 30 9 13 8 +2 40
10 Leganes 30 10 10 10 +1 40
11 Villarreal B 30 11 7 12 -5 40
12 Tenerife 31 9 11 11 -3 38
13 Mirandes 30 9 10 11 -3 37
14 Andorra 30 10 6 14 +1 36
15 Sp Gijon 30 8 12 10 -3 36
16 Santander 30 9 9 12 -3 36
17 Oviedo 31 9 9 13 -6 36
18 Zaragoza 30 8 11 11 -6 35
19 Ponferradina 30 6 11 13 -14 29
20 Malaga 30 5 10 15 -11 25
21 Lugo 30 5 8 17 -21 23
22 Ibiza 30 5 8 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Burgos
Matheus Pereira 🟨
14′
1–0 Jon Bautista
Matheus Pereira
34′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Raúl Navarro
58′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Juan Artola
58′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Raúl Navarro
Javi Muñoz 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
60′
70′
🔁 Sergio Castel
↦ Curro Sánchez
70′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Aitor Córdoba
Peru Nolaskoain Esnal 🟨
74′
G. Blanco 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
76′
Quique González 🔁
↦ Y. Rahmani
76′
Ager Aketxe 🔁
↦ José Corpas
76′
86′
🔁 Juan Hernández
↦ Álex Bermejo
94′
🟨 Gaspar Campos
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
6 Sergio Álvarez D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
22 Peru Nolaskoain M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
19 Stoichkov M
11 Y. Rahmani M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
14 Javi Muñoz
9 G. Blanco
7 Quique González
10 Ager Aketxe
13 Yoel
24 Daniel Lasure
1 Ander Cantero
2 Chema Rodríguez
20 Arana
21 Álvaro Vadillo

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
3 Fran García D
6 Raúl Navarro M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
16 Curro Sánchez F
7 Juan Artola F
11 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (10)
10 Álex Bermejo
22 Miki Muñoz
12 Sergio Castel
8 Pablo Valcarce
15 Juan Hernández
4 Míchel Zabaco
2 Borja González
23 José Matos
26 L. Badiashile
1 Dani Barrio

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,17
B
5,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,94
U2,5 ✓
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.