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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Burgos
T U S U U
1–3
Full-time
Granada
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,0
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
38%
52%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 23%
21%
24%
Both score Ø 23%
28%
17%
Average goals
1,4
1,9
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 7. · Granada 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 30 15 12 3 +20 57
2 Levante 29 14 12 3 +16 54
3 Alaves 29 15 8 6 +14 53
4 Eibar 29 15 8 6 +9 53
5 Granada 29 15 6 8 +17 51
6 Albacete 29 12 11 6 +6 47
7 Burgos 29 11 12 6 +8 45
8 Cartagena 29 11 8 10 +3 41
9 Leganes 29 10 10 9 +2 40
10 Huesca 29 8 13 8 -1 37
11 Tenerife 29 9 10 10 -2 37
12 Villarreal B 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Andorra 30 10 6 14 +1 36
14 Sp Gijon 29 8 12 9 -2 36
15 Oviedo 29 9 8 12 -5 35
16 Mirandes 29 8 10 11 -4 34
17 Zaragoza 29 8 10 11 -6 34
18 Santander 29 8 9 12 -4 33
19 Ponferradina 29 6 11 12 -11 29
20 Malaga 29 5 10 14 -10 25
21 Lugo 29 5 7 17 -21 22
22 Ibiza 29 4 8 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -22 Granada – Burgos 1–0

Match report

Burgos Granada
-5′
🟨 Shon Weissman
-5′
🟨 Antonio Puertas
5′
🔁 Miki Bosch
↦ Raúl Torrente
1–0 Gaspar Campos
Álex Bermejo
8′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ S. Weissman
59′
🔁 Bryan Zaragoza
↦ Antonio Puertas
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
61′
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
67′
69′
Jorge Molina 1–1
Sergio Ruiz
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
73′
Pablo Valcarce 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
73′
76′
🟨 Jonathan Silva
78′
🔁 Alberto Perea
↦ José Callejón
78′
🔁 Y. Bodiger
↦ Pol Lozano
83′
M. Uzuni 1–2
Jorge Molina
Mourad 🔁
↦ Jesús Areso
87′
Fran García 🔁
↦ José Matos
87′
Mourad El Ghezouani ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
93′
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟥
94′
Juan Artola 🟨
96′
98′
Jorge Molina 1–3
Alberto Perea
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
23 José Matos D
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
11 Gaspar Campos M
10 Álex Bermejo F
Bench (10)
6 Raúl Navarro
7 Juan Artola
8 Pablo Valcarce
9 Mourad
3 Fran García
1 Dani Barrio
2 Borja González
12 Sergio Castel
15 Juan Hernández
4 Míchel Zabaco

Coach: Julián Calero

Granada

3-4-2-1
1 Raúl Fernández G
24 E. Cabaco D
16 Víctor Díaz D
28 Raúl Torrente D
10 Antonio Puertas M
3 Pol Lozano M
20 Sergio Ruiz M
5 J. Silva M
9 José Callejón F
11 M. Uzuni F
25 S. Weissman F
Bench (12)
32 Miki Bosch
19 Jorge Molina
26 Bryan Zaragoza
22 Alberto Perea
6 Y. Bodiger
8 F. Diédhiou
18 N. Petrović
21 Óscar Melendo
15 Carlos Neva
12 Víctor Meseguer
7 Alberto Soro
33 Adrián López

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,60
U
2,82
B ✓
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
3,01
U2,5
1,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.