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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

U U T T T

3–1

Full-time

Lugo

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 32%

37%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

51%

34%

Both score Ø 65%

60%

69%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 8. · Lugo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	36	19	11	6	+12	68
2	Almeria	36	20	7	9	+25	67
3	Valladolid	36	19	9	8	+20	66
4	Tenerife	35	17	8	10	+16	59
5	Girona	35	17	7	11	+15	58
6	Oviedo	36	14	15	7	+12	57
7	Las Palmas	36	14	12	10	+4	54
8	Ponferradina	35	13	12	10	+1	51
9	Cartagena	36	15	4	17	-1	49
10	Huesca	35	12	12	11	+9	48
11	Ibiza	35	11	14	10	+0	47
12	Zaragoza	35	10	17	8	-4	47
13	Burgos	35	13	7	15	+2	46
14	Mirandes	36	13	7	16	-5	46
15	Lugo	35	9	18	8	+0	45
16	Leganes	36	11	12	13	-4	45
17	Sp Gijon	36	10	11	15	-3	41
18	Malaga	36	10	11	15	-18	41
19	Amorebieta	36	6	16	14	-13	34
20	Sociedad B	35	7	10	18	-15	31
21	Fuenlabrada	35	5	14	16	-19	29
22	Alcorcon	36	4	10	22	-34	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	18	12	5	1	+14	41
2	Valladolid	18	12	4	2	+21	40
3	Almeria	18	12	3	3	+19	39
4	Girona	18	11	3	4	+17	36
5	Oviedo	18	9	7	2	+15	34
6	Cartagena	18	11	1	6	+14	34
7	Burgos	17	9	5	3	+16	32
8	Las Palmas	18	9	5	4	+8	32
9	Mirandes	18	10	2	6	+7	32
10	Lugo	17	8	7	2	+6	31
11	Tenerife	17	8	4	5	+10	28
12	Ponferradina	17	7	7	3	+9	28
13	Zaragoza	18	6	9	3	+3	27
14	Malaga	18	7	6	5	-3	27
15	Ibiza	18	6	8	4	+6	26
16	Leganes	18	6	8	4	+2	26
17	Huesca	18	6	7	5	+5	25
18	Sp Gijon	18	7	3	8	+1	24
19	Amorebieta	18	5	8	5	+1	23
20	Fuenlabrada	18	4	9	5	-1	21
21	Sociedad B	18	3	4	11	-11	13
22	Alcorcon	17	2	7	8	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	18	9	4	5	+6	31
2	Almeria	18	8	4	6	+6	28
3	Eibar	18	7	6	5	-2	27
4	Valladolid	18	7	5	6	-1	26
5	Huesca	17	6	5	6	+4	23
6	Oviedo	18	5	8	5	-3	23
7	Ponferradina	18	6	5	7	-8	23
8	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
9	Las Palmas	18	5	7	6	-4	22
10	Ibiza	17	5	6	6	-6	21
11	Zaragoza	17	4	8	5	-7	20
12	Leganes	18	5	4	9	-6	19
13	Sociedad B	17	4	6	7	-4	18
14	Sp Gijon	18	3	8	7	-4	17
15	Cartagena	18	4	3	11	-15	15
16	Lugo	18	1	11	6	-6	14
17	Mirandes	18	3	5	10	-12	14
18	Burgos	18	4	2	12	-14	14
19	Malaga	18	3	5	10	-15	14
20	Amorebieta	18	1	8	9	-14	11
21	Alcorcon	19	2	3	14	-20	9
22	Fuenlabrada	17	1	5	11	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.