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LaLiga2

Burgos

S S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Ponferradina

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

27%

47%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

33%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

27%

53%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Burgos 18. · Ponferradina 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	16	12	1	3	+19	37
2	Eibar	16	9	4	3	+5	31
3	Valladolid	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Tenerife	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Las Palmas	16	7	6	3	+6	27
6	Ponferradina	15	7	5	3	+6	26
7	Zaragoza	16	4	10	2	+2	22
8	Ibiza	16	5	7	4	-1	22
9	Sp Gijon	16	6	4	6	-1	22
10	Cartagena	16	7	1	8	-3	22
11	Girona	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Huesca	16	5	5	6	+1	20
13	Oviedo	15	4	8	3	+1	20
14	Malaga	15	5	5	5	-4	20
15	Lugo	16	4	7	5	+0	19
16	Mirandes	16	5	3	8	-4	18
17	Sociedad B	16	4	5	7	-3	17
18	Burgos	15	4	4	7	-4	16
19	Fuenlabrada	16	3	7	6	-5	16
20	Leganes	15	3	5	7	-4	14
21	Amorebieta	16	2	7	7	-6	13
22	Alcorcon	16	2	2	12	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	9	6	2	1	+9	20
2	Almeria	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Eibar	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Valladolid	8	5	2	1	+9	17
5	Malaga	7	5	2	0	+6	17
6	Cartagena	7	5	0	2	+6	15
7	Ponferradina	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Sp Gijon	8	5	0	3	+2	15
9	Girona	9	4	2	3	+3	14
10	Tenerife	7	4	1	2	+6	13
11	Lugo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Burgos	7	3	2	2	+4	11
13	Oviedo	8	2	5	1	+1	11
14	Ibiza	8	2	4	2	+1	10
15	Fuenlabrada	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Mirandes	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Zaragoza	8	1	6	1	+1	9
18	Amorebieta	8	2	3	3	+0	9
19	Huesca	8	2	3	3	+0	9
20	Leganes	7	1	3	3	-3	6
21	Sociedad B	8	1	3	4	-4	6
22	Alcorcon	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	9	6	0	3	+9	18
2	Tenerife	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Zaragoza	8	3	4	1	+1	13
4	Eibar	8	3	3	2	-1	12
5	Ibiza	8	3	3	2	-2	12
6	Huesca	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Sociedad B	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Ponferradina	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Oviedo	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Leganes	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Lugo	8	1	4	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Girona	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Las Palmas	7	1	4	2	-3	7
17	Cartagena	9	2	1	6	-9	7
18	Fuenlabrada	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Burgos	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Amorebieta	8	0	4	4	-6	4
21	Alcorcon	8	1	0	7	-9	3
22	Malaga	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.