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Championship
Referee: J Linington
QPR
U S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Cardiff
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

70% Possession 30%
22 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match QPR 6. · Cardiff 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 16 9 0 7 +3 27
2 Burnley 14 6 7 1 +12 25
3 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 +11 25
4 Luton 15 6 6 3 +6 24
5 Norwich 15 7 3 5 +5 24
6 QPR 14 7 3 4 +4 24
7 Swansea 15 7 3 5 -2 24
8 Preston 16 5 7 4 -1 22
9 Reading 15 7 1 7 -6 22
10 Rotherham 14 5 6 3 +3 21
11 Bristol City 16 6 3 7 +1 21
12 Sunderland 15 5 5 5 +3 20
13 Watford 14 5 5 4 +2 20
14 Millwall 14 6 2 6 -1 20
15 Birmingham 14 5 4 5 +2 19
16 Stoke 15 5 4 6 -1 19
17 Wigan 14 5 4 5 -3 19
18 Cardiff 14 5 3 6 -2 18
19 Blackpool 14 4 4 6 -4 16
20 West Brom 15 2 8 5 -1 14
21 Hull 14 4 2 8 -15 14
22 Middlesbrough 13 3 4 6 -4 13
23 Huddersfield 14 3 2 9 -6 11
24 Coventry 10 1 4 5 -6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Cardiff
1′
🟨 Perry Ng
18′
🟥 Jack Simpson
1–0 L. Dykes
19′
21′
🔁 C. Nelson
↦ R. Sawyers
Stefan Johansen 🟨
26′
28′
🟨 Curtis Nelson
2–0 L. Dykes
I. Chair
33′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Sang
↦ P. Ng
54′
🟨 Niels Nkounkou
A. Dozzell 🔁
↦ S. Armstrong
59′
61′
🔁 M. Harris
↦ C. Robinson
70′
🟨 Ryan Wintle
L. Amos 🔁
↦ T. Iroegbunam
71′
73′
🟨 Mark Harris
3–0 K. Paal
S. Field
74′
T. Richards 🔁
↦ I. Chair
76′
M. Bonne 🔁
↦ L. Dykes
76′
O. Kakay 🔁
↦ E. Laird
76′
76′
🔁 J. Philogene
↦ C. ODowda
76′
🔁 J. Ralls
↦ R. Wintle
Kenneth Paal 🟨
79′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dieng G
27 E. Laird D
26 L. Balogun D
5 J. Clarke-Salter D
22 K. Paal D
6 S. Johansen M
15 S. Field M
47 T. Iroegbunam M
10 I. Chair M
30 S. Armstrong M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
17 A. Dozzell
8 L. Amos
20 T. Richards
18 M. Bonne
2 O. Kakay
4 R. Dickie
13 J. Archer

Coach: M. Beale

Cardiff

5-3-2
1 R. Allsop G
11 C. O'Dowda D
38 P. Ng D
23 C. Kipré D
26 J. Simpson D
37 N. Nkounkou D
19 R. Sawyers M
6 R. Wintle M
35 A. Rinomhota M
10 S. Ojo F
47 C. Robinson F
Bench (7)
16 C. Nelson
12 T. Sang
29 M. Harris
25 J. Philogene
8 J. Ralls
9 K. Etete
21 J. Alnwick

Coach: M. Hudson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,30
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.