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Serie B
Referee: Simone Galipo
Carrarese
S U U T U
0–0
Full-time
Modena
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Carrarese 11. · Modena 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Modena 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Palermo 6 3 3 0 +5 12
4 Avellino 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 Cesena 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Juve Stabia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
7 Venezia 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Sudtirol 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Padova 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Monza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Carrarese 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Reggiana 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Virtus Entella 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Catanzaro 5 0 5 0 +0 5
15 Empoli 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Pescara 5 1 1 3 +0 4
17 Bari 6 0 3 3 -6 3
18 Spezia 6 0 3 3 -6 3
19 Mantova 6 1 0 5 -8 3
20 Sampdoria 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Carrarese Modena
29′
🟨 Alessandro Dellavalle
43′
🟨 Niklas Pyyhtiä
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Santoro
↦ N. Pyyhtia
Nicolas Schiavi 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Daniel Tonoli
54′
🟨 Luca Magnino
Julián Illanes 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ P. Mendes
62′
🔁 F. Di Mariano
↦ G. Defrel
62′
🔁 M. Cotali
↦ L. Zanimacchia
N. Sekulov 🔁
↦ F. Abiuso
68′
L. Hasa 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
68′
D. Bouah 🔁
↦ S. Zanon
80′
T. Rubino 🔁
↦ N. Schiavi
80′
82′
🔁 A. Sersanti
↦ L. Magnino
E. Torregrossa 🔁
↦ M. Finotto
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Carrarese

4-3-3
1 M. Bleve G
72 S. Zanon D
26 F. Ruggeri D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
17 E. Zuelli M
18 N. Schiavi M
11 M. Cicconi M
9 F. Abiuso F
32 M. Finotto F
10 K. Bozhanaj F
Bench (12)
99 V. Fiorillo
6 F. Oliana
7 N. Belloni
8 F. Melegoni
13 D. Bouah
21 T. Rubino
28 F. Di Stefano
37 N. Calabrese
44 N. Sekulov
70 L. Hasa
77 G. Parlanti
92 E. Torregrossa

Coach: Nicola Antonio Calabro

Modena

3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola G
77 D. Tonoli D
28 D. Adorni D
25 A. Dellavalle D
7 F. Zampano M
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
18 N. Pyyhtia M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
92 G. Defrel F
11 P. Mendes F
Bench (12)
78 F. Bagheria
3 F. Ponsi
5 A. Sersanti
8 S. Santoro
9 E. Gliozzi
10 G. Caso
17 Y. Massolin
19 S. Nador
20 B. Nieling
23 F. Di Mariano
29 M. Cotali
33 C. Cauz

Coach: Andrea Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U ✓
3,03
B
2,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simone Galipo · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.