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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Brescia
U U T U U
3–3
Full-time
Modena
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
39%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 13. · Modena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
3 Spezia 18 10 7 1 +18 37
4 Juve Stabia 18 7 7 4 +0 28
5 Cremonese 18 7 5 6 +4 26
6 Cesena 18 7 4 7 +2 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 18 4 11 3 +3 23
9 Modena 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
11 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
13 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Sampdoria 18 4 7 7 -6 19
16 Reggiana 18 4 6 8 -5 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Cittadella 18 4 6 8 -14 18
19 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
20 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Modena
9′
🔁 E. Duca
↦ G. Caso
16′
F. Gerli 0–1
1–1 M. Verreth
34′
Lorenzo Dickmann 🟨
41′
45′
S. Santoro 1–2
F. Gerli
Half-time 1–2
G. Olzer 🔁
↦ A. Papetti
46′
G. Borrelli 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
46′
2–2 A. Cistana
50′
Giacomo Olzer 🟨
60′
A. Jallow 🔁
↦ N. Corrado
61′
72′
🟨 Edoardo Duca
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ A. Jurič
72′
72′
🔁 L. Magnino
↦ A. Di Pardo
73′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ E. Duca
73′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ S. Santoro
81′
🟨 Cristian Cauz
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
81′
2–3 L. Magnino
own goal
83′
86′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ M. Cotali
88′
K. Bozhanaj 2–4
F. Abiuso
90′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Brescia

3-5-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
15 A. Cistana D
24 L. Dickmann M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
23 N. Galazzi M
19 N. Corrado M
7 A. Jurič F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
27 G. Olzer
29 G. Borrelli
18 A. Jallow
9 F. Bianchi
8 B. Bjarnason
33 Z. Muça
5 G. Calvani
26 M. Bertagnoli
39 M. Besaggio
4 F. Paghera
20 P. Nuamah
22 L. Andrenacci

Coach: P. Bisoli

Modena

3-4-2-1
1 J. Sassi G
25 A. Dellavalle D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
11 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (12)
7 E. Duca
6 L. Magnino
21 K. Bozhanaj
5 T. Battistella
90 F. Abiuso
24 M. Oliva
2 G. Beyuku
26 R. Gagno
9 E. Gliozzi
23 M. Caldara
27 R. Idrissi
78 F. Bagheria

Coach: P. Mandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,01
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.