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Serie B
Referee: A Rapuano
Bari
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Parma
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
54%
Both score Ø 59%
60%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 18. · Parma 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 35 21 10 4 +31 73
2 Como 36 21 8 7 +18 71
3 Venezia 36 20 7 9 +23 67
4 Cremonese 36 18 9 9 +15 63
5 Catanzaro 36 17 9 10 +12 60
6 Palermo 36 14 10 12 +8 52
7 Sampdoria 35 13 9 13 -1 48
8 Brescia 35 11 14 10 +3 47
9 Sudtirol 36 12 10 14 -1 46
10 Cosenza 36 11 12 13 +5 45
11 Pisa 36 11 12 13 -2 45
12 Cittadella 36 11 12 13 -4 45
13 Modena 35 9 16 10 -6 43
14 Reggiana 35 9 16 10 -7 43
15 Spezia 36 8 16 12 -14 40
16 Ascoli 36 8 13 15 -5 37
17 Ternana 36 9 10 17 -9 37
18 Bari 35 7 15 13 -13 36
19 FeralpiSalo 35 8 8 19 -19 32
20 Lecco 35 6 8 21 -34 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U ✓
3,24
B
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.