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Serie B
Referee: G Aureliano
Palermo
S T T U U
0–0
Full-time
Parma
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 52%
42%
61%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 6. · Parma 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 33 20 9 4 +27 69
2 Como 33 19 7 7 +14 64
3 Venezia 33 18 7 8 +22 61
4 Cremonese 33 17 8 8 +15 59
5 Catanzaro 33 16 7 10 +11 55
6 Palermo 33 14 9 10 +10 51
7 Sampdoria 33 13 7 13 -1 46
8 Brescia 33 11 12 10 +3 45
9 Pisa 33 11 10 12 -1 43
10 Cittadella 33 11 10 12 -3 43
11 Sudtirol 33 11 9 13 -1 42
12 Reggiana 33 8 16 9 -4 40
13 Modena 33 8 15 10 -7 39
14 Cosenza 33 8 12 13 -3 36
15 Ternana 33 9 9 15 -7 36
16 Bari 33 7 14 12 -10 35
17 Spezia 33 7 14 12 -15 35
18 Ascoli 33 7 12 14 -5 33
19 FeralpiSalo 33 8 7 18 -16 31
20 Lecco 33 6 8 19 -29 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Parma
A. Buttaro 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
33′
37′
🟨 Yordan Osorio
Salim Diakité 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Charpentier
↦ W. Cyprien
C. Traorè 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
69′
J. Segre 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
69′
69′
🔁 S. Sohm
↦ V. Mihăilă
78′
🟨 Adrián Bernabé
79′
🔁 Hernani
↦ A. Benedyczak
83′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ D. Man
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ M. Brunori
90′
Claudio Gomes 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Palermo

4-4-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 S. Diakité D
5 F. Lucioni D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
3 K. Lund D
10 F. Di Mariano M
53 L. Henderson M
4 C. Gomes M
17 F. Di Francesco M
7 L. Mancuso F
9 M. Brunori F
Bench (12)
25 A. Buttaro
70 C. Traorè
8 J. Segre
80 M. Coulibaly
11 R. Insigne
32 P. Ceccaroni
6 L. Štulac
27 E. Soleri
2 S. Graves
15 I. Marconi
1 S. Desplanches
31 G. Aurelio

Coach: M. Mignani

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 L. Chichizola G
15 E. Delprato D
3 Y. Osorio D
39 A. Circati D
77 G. Di Chiara D
64 W. Cyprien M
8 N. Estévez M
98 D. Man M
10 Adrián Bernabé M
7 A. Benedyczak M
28 V. Mihăilă F
Bench (12)
9 G. Charpentier
19 S. Sohm
27 Hernani
14 C. Ansaldi
21 A. Partipilo
17 A. Čolak
47 V. Zagaritis
4 B. Balogh
40 E. Corvi
20 A. Hainaut
22 M. Turk
23 D. Camara

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U ✓
3,41
B
2,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.