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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Brescia

U U U S T

1–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

31%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

28%

55%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 8. · Catanzaro 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	29	18	8	3	+26	62
2	Venezia	30	17	6	7	+21	57
3	Cremonese	29	16	8	5	+19	56
4	Como	29	15	7	7	+8	52
5	Palermo	30	14	7	9	+11	49
6	Catanzaro	29	14	6	9	+8	48
7	Sampdoria	29	11	6	12	-4	39
8	Brescia	29	9	11	9	+2	38
9	Pisa	29	9	10	10	+0	37
10	Cittadella	29	10	7	12	-5	37
11	Reggiana	29	7	15	7	-2	36
12	Modena	29	8	12	9	-5	36
13	Sudtirol	29	9	8	12	-3	35
14	Cosenza	29	8	10	11	-1	34
15	Bari	29	7	13	9	-7	34
16	Spezia	29	6	12	11	-14	30
17	Ternana	29	7	8	14	-6	29
18	Ascoli	29	6	10	13	-7	28
19	FeralpiSalo	29	7	6	16	-14	27
20	Lecco	29	5	6	18	-27	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Parma	15	9	6	0	+13	33
3	Como	14	8	4	2	+7	28
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Palermo	15	8	1	6	+7	25
7	Cittadella	15	7	2	6	+3	23
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+2	22
9	Brescia	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Modena	15	5	4	6	-1	19
11	Pisa	15	4	6	5	+0	18
12	Sudtirol	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Sampdoria	15	5	3	7	-3	18
14	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	+2	17
15	Ascoli	14	3	6	5	+0	15
16	Ternana	15	3	6	6	-1	15
17	Spezia	14	3	6	5	-2	15
18	Reggiana	14	2	9	3	-3	15
19	FeralpiSalo	14	3	3	8	-4	12
20	Lecco	14	3	1	10	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	14	9	3	2	+10	30
2	Parma	14	9	2	3	+13	29
3	Venezia	15	7	3	5	+8	24
4	Palermo	15	6	6	3	+4	24
5	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
6	Reggiana	15	5	6	4	+1	21
7	Catanzaro	14	6	3	5	+0	21
8	Sampdoria	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Pisa	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Brescia	15	4	6	5	+0	18
11	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-2	17
12	Cosenza	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Modena	14	3	8	3	-4	17
14	FeralpiSalo	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Spezia	15	3	6	6	-12	15
16	Ternana	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Cittadella	14	3	5	6	-8	14
18	Ascoli	15	3	4	8	-7	13
19	Bari	15	2	6	7	-9	12
20	Lecco	15	2	5	8	-14	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.