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Serie B

Referee: D Perenzoni

Bari

T S T U U

3–1

Full-time

Ternana

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

32%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

68%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 11. · Ternana 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	19	12	5	2	+20	41
2	Venezia	19	10	5	4	+11	35
3	Como	19	10	5	4	+4	35
4	Catanzaro	20	10	3	7	+6	33
5	Cittadella	19	9	6	4	+5	33
6	Cremonese	19	9	5	5	+12	32
7	Palermo	19	9	5	5	+9	32
8	Modena	19	7	7	5	-3	28
9	Brescia	19	6	7	6	+0	25
10	Sampdoria	19	7	4	8	-1	25
11	Bari	19	4	11	4	-2	23
12	Reggiana	19	5	8	6	-3	23
13	Pisa	19	5	7	7	-3	22
14	Cosenza	19	5	6	8	-2	21
15	Sudtirol	19	5	5	9	-2	20
16	Lecco	20	5	5	10	-11	20
17	Ternana	19	4	6	9	-4	18
18	Ascoli	19	4	5	10	-7	17
19	Spezia	19	3	8	8	-11	17
20	FeralpiSalo	19	3	5	11	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	6	4	0	+10	22
2	Venezia	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Cittadella	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Catanzaro	10	6	1	3	+6	19
5	Como	9	5	3	1	+3	18
6	Palermo	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Cremonese	10	4	3	3	+6	15
8	Modena	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	+0	13
10	Cosenza	10	3	3	4	+3	12
11	Reggiana	10	2	6	2	-1	12
12	Bari	9	2	6	1	-1	12
13	Brescia	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Ascoli	9	3	2	4	+1	11
15	Ternana	10	2	4	4	+0	10
16	Pisa	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Lecco	9	3	1	5	-4	10
18	Sudtirol	9	2	3	4	+0	9
19	Spezia	9	1	5	3	-2	8
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Cremonese	9	5	2	2	+6	17
3	Como	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Palermo	9	4	4	1	+6	16
5	Venezia	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Catanzaro	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Modena	10	3	5	2	-2	14
8	Brescia	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Cittadella	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Pisa	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Bari	10	2	5	3	-1	11
13	Sudtirol	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Reggiana	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Lecco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Cosenza	9	2	3	4	-5	9
17	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Ternana	9	2	2	5	-4	8
19	FeralpiSalo	10	2	2	6	-11	8
20	Ascoli	10	1	3	6	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.