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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Parma
U S U U U
3–1
Full-time
Ternana
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
59%
24%
Points per game
2,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 1. · Ternana 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 17 10 5 2 +16 35
2 Venezia 17 10 3 4 +11 33
3 Como 17 9 4 4 +3 31
4 Catanzaro 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Cremonese 17 8 5 4 +9 29
6 Cittadella 17 8 5 4 +2 29
7 Palermo 17 8 4 5 +8 28
8 Modena 17 7 6 4 +1 27
9 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Brescia 17 5 7 5 +1 22
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 17 4 5 8 -2 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
18 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
19 Lecco 17 4 4 9 -10 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Ternana
8′
A. Raimondo 0–1
N. Corrado
1–1 D. Man
Adrián Bernabé
10′
14′
🟨 Jakub Łabojko
Half-time 1–1
W. Cyprien 🔁
↦ S. Sohm
46′
W. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ G. Di Chiara
46′
46′
🔁 V. Mantovani
↦ J. Łabojko
2–1 W. Cyprien
D. Man
52′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ G. Charpentier
54′
3–1 Adrián Bernabé
D. Man
55′
57′
🔁 C. Favasuli
↦ N. Corrado
Ange-Yoan Bonny ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
61′
68′
🟨 Lorenzo Lucchesi
69′
🔁 A. Celli
↦ T. Casasola
A. Partipilo 🔁
↦ D. Man
71′
Hernani 🔁
↦ Adrián Bernabé
77′
78′
🔁 A. Mărginean
↦ A. Celli
88′
🟨 Iulius Marginean
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 L. Chichizola G
15 E. Del Prato D
3 Y. Osorio D
39 A. Circati D
77 G. Di Chiara D
8 N. Estévez M
19 S. Sohm M
98 D. Man M
10 Adrián Bernabé M
7 A. Benedyczak M
9 G. Charpentier F
Bench (12)
64 W. Cyprien
26 W. Coulibaly
13 A. Bonny
21 A. Partipilo
27 Hernani
22 M. Turk
28 V. Mihăilă
40 E. Corvi
23 D. Camara
17 A. Čolak
4 B. Balogh
47 V. Zagaritis

Coach: F. Pecchia

Ternana

3-4-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 T. Casasola M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
25 J. Łabojko M
91 N. Corrado M
10 C. Falletti F
28 F. Distefano F
9 A. Raimondo F
Bench (11)
13 V. Mantovani
27 C. Favasuli
3 A. Celli
73 A. Mărginean
65 F. Dionisi
20 E. Salandra
76 F. Novelli
4 F. Sørensen
30 O. Garau
33 C. Travaglini
77 Gabriel Brazão

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,86
B
5,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.