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Serie B

Referee: J Sacchi

Parma

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Bari

S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 1. · Bari 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Palermo	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Modena	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Venezia	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Catanzaro	6	3	2	1	+0	11
6	Sudtirol	6	2	4	0	+4	10
7	Como	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Cremonese	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Brescia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	+1	8
11	Bari	6	1	5	0	+1	8
12	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-3	8
14	Ascoli	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Reggiana	7	1	4	2	-2	7
16	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	FeralpiSalo	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Spezia	6	0	2	4	-6	2
19	Ternana	7	0	2	5	-6	2
20	Lecco	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Modena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Ascoli	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Catanzaro	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Bari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Ternana	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	FeralpiSalo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Parma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Como	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Sampdoria	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Modena	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Venezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	FeralpiSalo	4	1	0	3	-7	3
17	Lecco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Ascoli	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.