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Serie B

Referee: D Perenzoni

Ternana

S T T T T

2–3

Full-time

Frosinone

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 46%

30%

62%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

51%

43%

Both score Ø 44%

49%

38%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 14. · Frosinone 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	37	23	8	6	+36	77
2	Genoa	37	20	11	6	+24	71
3	Bari	37	17	14	6	+22	65
4	Parma	37	16	10	11	+8	58
5	Sudtirol	37	14	16	7	+5	58
6	Cagliari	37	14	15	8	+15	57
7	Reggina	37	16	4	17	+3	52
8	Venezia	37	13	10	14	+2	49
9	Palermo	37	11	15	11	-1	48
10	Pisa	37	11	14	12	+7	47
11	Ascoli	37	12	11	14	-6	47
12	Como	37	10	16	11	-1	46
13	Modena	37	12	9	16	-7	45
14	Ternana	37	11	10	16	-14	43
15	Cittadella	37	9	15	13	-11	42
16	Cosenza	37	9	13	15	-22	40
17	Brescia	37	9	12	16	-21	39
18	Perugia	37	9	9	19	-13	36
19	Spal	37	7	14	16	-11	35
20	Benevento	37	7	14	16	-15	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	19	14	3	2	+24	45
2	Genoa	18	11	6	1	+18	39
3	Cagliari	19	11	6	2	+11	39
4	Parma	18	10	2	6	+9	32
5	Como	19	8	7	4	+8	31
6	Palermo	18	8	7	3	+8	31
7	Bari	19	7	9	3	+11	30
8	Reggina	18	9	2	7	+5	29
9	Ternana	18	8	5	5	+1	29
10	Sudtirol	19	6	10	3	+3	28
11	Cosenza	18	7	7	4	+3	28
12	Pisa	18	7	5	6	+7	26
13	Modena	18	6	8	4	+7	26
14	Venezia	19	7	5	7	+2	26
15	Ascoli	19	6	6	7	-2	24
16	Brescia	19	6	6	7	-5	24
17	Cittadella	18	5	7	6	-3	22
18	Perugia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
19	Spal	19	4	7	8	-2	19
20	Benevento	19	4	6	9	-9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	18	10	5	3	+11	35
2	Frosinone	18	9	5	4	+12	32
3	Genoa	19	9	5	5	+6	32
4	Sudtirol	18	8	6	4	+2	30
5	Parma	19	6	8	5	-1	26
6	Venezia	18	6	5	7	+0	23
7	Reggina	19	7	2	10	-2	23
8	Ascoli	18	6	5	7	-4	23
9	Pisa	19	4	9	6	+0	21
10	Cittadella	19	4	8	7	-8	20
11	Modena	19	6	1	12	-14	19
12	Cagliari	18	3	9	6	+4	18
13	Benevento	18	3	8	7	-6	17
14	Palermo	19	3	8	8	-9	17
15	Spal	18	3	7	8	-9	16
16	Perugia	19	4	3	12	-8	15
17	Como	18	2	9	7	-9	15
18	Brescia	18	3	6	9	-16	15
19	Ternana	19	3	5	11	-15	14
20	Cosenza	19	2	6	11	-25	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.