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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Giua

Salernitana

T S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Ternana

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

8 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 0

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.