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Coppa Italia

Referee: N Baroni

Spezia

S U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Venezia

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Venezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

20 Shots 20

9 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 9

4 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.