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Championship

Referee: D Bond

Cardiff

U S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Birmingham

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cardiff 12. · Birmingham 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Blackburn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sunderland	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hull	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Burnley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	QPR	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	West Brom	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Wigan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Luton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Preston	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Norwich	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-3	1
23	Bristol City	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.