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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Laval
S T S U T
1–3
Full-time
Le Havre
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
40%
17%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 8. · Le Havre 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 5 3 2 0 +5 11
2 Dijon 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Amiens 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Bordeaux 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 Sochaux 5 2 1 2 +4 7
7 Metz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Laval 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Nimes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Le Havre 5 1 3 1 +5 6
11 Bastia 5 2 0 3 +0 6
12 Quevilly Rouen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Paris FC 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Valenciennes 5 1 3 1 -1 6
15 Grenoble 5 1 3 1 -2 6
16 Niort 5 2 0 3 -5 6
17 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 St Etienne 5 0 3 2 -7 3
19 Annecy 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Pau FC 5 0 2 3 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Le Havre
Jimmy Roye 🟨
3′
18′
🟨 Amir Richardson
Julien Maggiotti 🟨
21′
1–0 D. Diaw
J. Roye
32′
Half-time 1–1
49′
Y. Kitala 1–1
Q. Cornette
59′
🟨 Quentin Cornette
66′
🔁 J. Casimir
↦ Q. Cornette
66′
🔁 J. Thiaré
↦ Y. Kitala
R. Ferhaoui 🔁
↦ J. Adéoti
70′
E. Seidou 🔁
↦ R. Duterte
70′
71′
J. Thiaré 1–2
J. Casimir
72′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ Y. Kechta
Zakaria Naidji 🟨
74′
K. N'Chobi 🔁
↦ G. Durbant
75′
S. Nsimba 🔁
↦ Z. Naidji
75′
78′
A. Richardson 1–3
D. Sylla 🔁
↦ A. Gonçalves
82′
83′
🔁 S. Kumbedi
↦ O. El Hajjam
84′
🟨 Jamal Thiaré
84′
🔁 E. Mahmoud
↦ N. Alioui
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Laval

5-3-2
16 A. Sauvage G
39 A. Gonçalves D
3 M. Baudry D
23 Yohan Tavares D
15 D. Diaw D
18 R. Duterte D
27 J. Adéoti M
4 J. Roye M
5 J. Maggiotti M
9 G. Durbant F
24 Z. Naidji F
Bench (7)
10 R. Ferhaoui
25 E. Seidou
11 K. N'Chobi
21 S. Nsimba
29 D. Sylla
1 M. Hautbois
7 B. Goncalves

Coach: O. Frapolli

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
5 Z. Diallo D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
11 Q. Cornette F
9 Y. Kitala F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (7)
23 J. Casimir
14 J. Thiaré
18 N. Mbemba
3 S. Kumbedi
28 E. Mahmoud
1 M. Gorgelin
4 G. Lloris

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
3,10
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.