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DBU Pokalen
Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen
Middelfart
S
1–0
Full-time
Fredericia
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middelfart Fredericia
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
7,0
8,0
Scored
7,0
8,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+7,0
+8,0
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
7,0
8,0
Scored
7,0
8,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+7,0
+8,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Middelfart 5. · Fredericia 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +9 3
3 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 BSF 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Tårnby FF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 FC Nakskov 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Hørsholm-Usserød 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Naestved 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Frederikshavn 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Jyllinge 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Frem 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Karlslunde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Viby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Vatanspor 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Culpa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 SfB-Oure 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Jammerbugt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Tuse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Kastrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Hedensted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Marienlyst 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Kerteminde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Varde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Brabrand 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 SGI 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
85 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
86 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
87 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
88 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
89 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
90 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Kjærsgaard-Andersen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.