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DBU Pokalen

Referee: C Johansen

Hedensted

1–2

Full-time

Thisted FC

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hedensted Thisted FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hedensted 40. · Thisted FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Frederikshavn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Jyllinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Culpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Hedensted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Varde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Brabrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
87	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
88	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
89	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
90	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frederikshavn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Jyllinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Culpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hedensted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Varde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
40	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
41	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
42	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
43	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
44	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
45	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Brabrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hedensted Thisted FC

C. Jorgensen 🟨

18′

1–0 M. Suljic ⚽

32′

45′

🔁 J. Gilbey

↦ K. Pavlyuk

45′

🔁 E. Lagergaard

↦ E. Facius

Half-time 1–0

49′

🟨 S. Trier

R. Larsen 🔁

↦ S. Bruhn

55′

🔁 J. Dalgaard

↦ Mathias Andersen

59′

🟨 J. Svenningsen

62′

🔁 N. Iversen

↦ S. Trier

E. Andersen 🔁

↦ D. Kristoffersen

74′

K. Skovbjerg 🔁

↦ C. Jørgensen

74′

⚽ A. Bustamante 1–1

78′

⚽ N. Iversen 1–2

79′

🔁 L. Agesen

↦ A. Kouzine

E. Rosenkrans 🔁

↦ T. Eisner

81′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hedensted

12 D. Kristoffersen

1 K. Qvist

15 N. Nymand

5 A. Givskov

8 N. Søgaard

4 C. Jørgensen

6 J. Hansen

10 M. Christensen

14 T. Eisner

17 S. Bruhn

7 M. Suljic

Bench (7)

2 R. Larsen

3 E. Andersen

9 K. Skovbjerg

18 E. Rosenkrans

13 M. Tofting

16 J. Michelsen

11 N. Sigtenborg

Coach: N. Givskov

Thisted FC

30 A. Kostow

6 J. Svenningsen

32 S. Trier

17 L. Bust Sørensen

26 E. Facius

7 A. Sørensen

22 K. Pavlyuk

10 A. Bustamante

9 Mathias Andersen

23 A. Kouzine

20 F. Sloth

Bench (7)

8 J. Gilbey

24 E. Lagergaard

33 J. Dalgaard

25 N. Iversen

27 L. Agesen

1 A. Raahauge

31 C. Mihigo

Coach: K. Popczyński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Aug POK 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Hedensted

Thisted FC

Odds comparison

Recent matches