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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Guingamp
S S U T S
1–2
Full-time
Sochaux
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Sochaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,6
1,6
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 3. · Sochaux 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 5 3 2 0 +5 11
2 Dijon 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Amiens 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Bordeaux 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 Sochaux 5 2 1 2 +4 7
7 Metz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Laval 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Nimes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Le Havre 5 1 3 1 +5 6
11 Bastia 5 2 0 3 +0 6
12 Quevilly Rouen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Paris FC 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Valenciennes 5 1 3 1 -1 6
15 Grenoble 5 1 3 1 -2 6
16 Niort 5 2 0 3 -5 6
17 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 St Etienne 5 0 3 2 -7 3
19 Annecy 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Pau FC 5 0 2 3 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Sochaux
1–0 P. Lemonnier
J. Livolant
21′
Mathis Riou 🟨
36′
37′
A. Ndour 1–1
T. Mauricio
41′
🟨 Julien Faussurier
42′
🟨 Franck Kanouté
Half-time 1–1
Maxime Sivis 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Maxence Prévot
64′
🔁 R. Pereira De Sa
↦ T. Mauricio
64′
🔁 M. Doumbia
↦ M. Do Couto
64′
🔁 A. Kalulu
↦ I. Sissoko
T. Muyumba 🔁
↦ W. Tchimbembé
65′
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
70′
81′
M. Doumbia 1–2
A. Kalulu
T. Le Normand 🔁
↦ M. Riou
82′
82′
🔁 S. Alvero
↦ F. Kanouté
86′
🔁 Y. Armougom
↦ G. Weissbeck
94′
🟨 Aldo Kalulu
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

3-4-1-2
16 E. Basilio G
15 V. Manceau D
24 P. Lemonnier D
26 M. Riou D
27 M. Sivis M
4 D. Louiserre M
12 W. Tchimbembé M
11 S. Quemper M
28 M. Barthelmé F
29 J. Livolant F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
6 T. Muyumba
18 G. Courtet
17 T. Le Normand
19 F. Eboa Eboa
22 M. Baaloudj
7 D. Gomis
30 D. Youfeigane

Coach: S. Dumont

Sochaux

4-1-4-1
16 M. Prévot G
28 J. Faussurier D
22 I. Aaneba D
5 S. Agouzoul D
4 A. Ndour D
77 F. Kanouté M
7 T. Mauricio M
10 G. Weissbeck M
14 R. Ndiaye M
11 M. Do Couto M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
6 R. Pereira De Sa
70 M. Doumbia
15 A. Kalulu
80 S. Alvero
18 Y. Armougom
30 M. Jeannin
3 V. Ozornwafor

Coach: O. Guégan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U
2,97
B ✓
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.